RSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSG - Republic Services Inc.
$208.87
4.51 (2.21%)
▲
5d:
+0.37%
30d:
+0.37%
90d:
-3.63%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RSG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RSG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$286.30
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$177.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSG is currently trading at $208.87, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $203.84 to $211.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.4) is in line with its historical norms (27.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $212.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $243.58 (+19.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $212.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $243.58 (+19.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$203.84 -
$211.29
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($243.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$203.84 -
$211.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$197.62
Resistance Level
$212.79
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.35
Wall Street Target
$243.58
(+19.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.4 vs 27.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$198.43
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$192.68
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$187.09
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→28)
$204.42
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.4, Growth: 10.6%)
$276.45
(+35%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$237.50
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 10.6%)
$201.88
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.97
Bull Case
$260.72
(+28%)
Analyst growth 15.7%, PE expands to 32.3
Base Case
$237.02
(+16%)
Market implied 15.7%, PE stable at 29.4
Bear Case
$139.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.4 to 27.7
Stabilization Target:
$223.29
(+9.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-23
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