RSG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RSG - Republic Services Inc.
$210.55
-0.78 (-0.37%)
▼
5d:
-2.93%
30d:
-1.94%
90d:
+0.64%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RSG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RSG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$287.17
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$178.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RSG is currently trading at $210.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $212.48 to $221.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.2) is in line with its historical norms (27.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $208.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $245.38 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RSG is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $208.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $245.38 (+16.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$212.48 -
$221.06
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($245.38)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$212.48 -
$221.06
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$208.28
Resistance Level
$223.18
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.20
Wall Street Target
$245.38
(+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.2 vs 27.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$207.74
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$204.21
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$200.73
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→28)
$211.49
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.2, Growth: 10.7%)
$286.80
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.8, Growth: 10.7%)
$227.82
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.7, Growth: 10.7%)
$193.65
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.98
Bull Case
$278.30
(+32%)
Analyst growth 15.6%, PE expands to 34.5
Base Case
$253.00
(+20%)
Market implied 15.6%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$148.86
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.2 to 27.6
Stabilization Target:
$222.65
(+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RSG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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