Acadian Asset Management (AAMI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAMI - Acadian Asset Management Inc.
$95.11
0.75 (0.79%)
▲
5d:
+4.4%
30d:
+3.49%
90d:
+18.55%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AAMI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AAMI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$134.03
Based on 11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$83.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAMI is currently trading at $95.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.61 to $94.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.9) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $95.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AAMI scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $95.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AAMI scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$90.61 -
$94.39
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($94.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.0% growth expectation is conservative given 171% recent growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 62/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.61 -
$94.39
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.13
Resistance Level
$95.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.90
Wall Street Target
$94.00
(-1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
171.4%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.0% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 12.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.77
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$108.89
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$116.51
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$95.40
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.2%)
$214.52
(+126%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 19.2%)
$160.94
(+69%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 19.2%)
$131.78
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.82
Bull Case
$207.59
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.8
Base Case
$188.72
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.5
Bear Case
$64.16
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AAMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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AAMI is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
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