AAMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAMI - Acadian Asset Management Inc.
$86.49
2.54 (3.03%)
▲
5d:
+6.94%
30d:
+20.16%
90d:
+28.42%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AAMI trades at premium valuation expecting 6.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: AAMI trades at premium valuation expecting 6.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$140.30
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.12
0.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAMI is currently trading at $86.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.66 to $83.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $88.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $88.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$74.66 -
$83.91
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($79.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.2% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.66 -
$83.91
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.00
Resistance Level
$88.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.69
Wall Street Target
$79.00
(-8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.4%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 11.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.85
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$97.55
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$103.60
(+20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 25.8%)
$260.92
(+202%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 25.8%)
$172.25
(+99%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 25.8%)
$143.48
(+66%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.44
Bull Case
$184.69
(+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.9
Base Case
$167.90
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.4
Bear Case
$57.09
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 12:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:26 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is AAMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert J Chersi
SELL
28753 shares
2026-02-11
Barbara Trebbi
SELL
9691 shares
2026-02-10
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