Acadian Asset Management (AAMI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$97.22
-0.35 (-0.36%)
▼
5d:
+6.11%
30d:
+6.16%
90d:
+4.36%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (46%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$90.37 – $95.12
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.2x
STRETCHED
vs 12.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$99.33
+2.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$86.00 / $100.65
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AAMI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.74
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAMI is currently trading at $97.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.37 to $95.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.2) compared to its historical average (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $86.00, while resistance sits at $100.65.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $86.00, while resistance sits at $100.65.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$90.37 -
$95.12
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$90.37 -
$95.12
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$86.00
Resistance Level
$100.65
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($99.33)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.3% growth expectation is conservative given 138% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.20
Wall Street Target
$99.33
(+2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
138.1%
Profit Margin
17.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.3% premium
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 12.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$104.32
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$111.93
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$120.10
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$97.20
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$188.00
(+93%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 14.0%)
$143.87
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 14.0%)
$116.43
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.40
Bull Case
$201.92
(+108%)
Analyst growth 88.1%, PE expands to 31.6
Base Case
$183.57
(+89%)
Market implied 88.1%, PE stable at 28.7
Bear Case
$66.35
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AAMI)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Acadian Asset Management (AAMI) reported stronger-than-expected Q3 earnings, with adjusted EPS of $1.36 versus $1.21 estimate, leading to a bullish sentiment on StockTwits. The company surpassed consensus estimates in the last two quarters and missed revenue estimates this quarter.
Key Retail Themes:
Acadian Asset Management reported earnings that surpassed estimates, leading to a bullish sentiment.
The company has beaten consensus estimates in the last three quarters, demonstrating a strong earnings trend.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AAMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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