AAMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAMI - Acadian Asset Management Inc.
$92.30
1.45 (1.60%)
▲
5d:
-0.23%
30d:
+15.04%
90d:
+27.19%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AAMI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AAMI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.76
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAMI is currently trading at $92.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.86 to $92.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.2) compared to its historical average (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $93.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AAMI scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $93.82. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AAMI scores 21/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$82.86 -
$92.06
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
21.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (21/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($85.67)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.8% growth expectation is conservative given 171% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.86 -
$92.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$88.71
Resistance Level
$93.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.17
Wall Street Target
$85.67
(-7.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
171.4%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.8% premium
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 11.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$98.58
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$105.28
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$112.44
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$92.04
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 21.2%)
$232.60
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 21.2%)
$164.24
(+78%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.6, Growth: 21.2%)
$134.44
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.83
Bull Case
$199.87
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.3
Base Case
$181.70
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.1
Bear Case
$61.78
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AAMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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AAMI is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
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