AAMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAMI - Acadian Asset Management Inc.
$73.01
-0.88 (-1.19%)
▼
5d:
-9.38%
30d:
+0.61%
90d:
+40.05%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AAMI is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AAMI is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$120.15
Based on 13.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.61
2.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAMI is currently trading at $73.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.33 to $77.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.52, while resistance sits at $85.73.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.52, while resistance sits at $85.73.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$70.33 -
$77.91
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($68.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.4% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.33 -
$77.91
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.52
Resistance Level
$85.73
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.47
Wall Street Target
$68.67
(-5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.4%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.71
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$78.51
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$81.42
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$73.15
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 22.1%)
$232.44
(+218%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 22.1%)
$133.04
(+82%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 22.1%)
$113.08
(+55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.35
Bull Case
$162.56
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.6
Base Case
$147.78
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$50.25
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is AAMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert J Chersi
SELL
28753 shares
2026-02-11
Barbara Trebbi
SELL
9691 shares
2026-02-10
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AAMI is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
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