Acadian Asset Management (AAMI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAMI - Acadian Asset Management Inc.
$91.02
-1.03 (-1.12%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.32%
30d:
-1.27%
90d:
+17.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AAMI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AAMI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.0% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.36
Based on 12.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.05
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAMI is currently trading at $91.02, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.63 to $94.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AAMI scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AAMI scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$90.63 -
$94.07
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($86.33)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.0% growth expectation is conservative given 171% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.63 -
$94.07
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.38
Resistance Level
$98.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.08
Wall Street Target
$86.33
(-5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
171.4%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.0% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 11.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.48
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$102.27
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$108.41
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â12)
PE COMPRESSION
$90.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 20.6%)
$229.06
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 20.6%)
$159.84
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: 20.6%)
$134.00
(+47%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.82
Bull Case
$202.51
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.9
Base Case
$184.10
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case
$62.59
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AAMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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