AAMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAMI - Acadian Asset Management Inc.
$78.81
-2.85 (-3.49%)
▼
5d:
-0.43%
30d:
+3.59%
90d:
+27.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AAMI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AAMI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$139.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.35
8.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAMI is currently trading at $78.81, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.41 to $79.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.5) compared to its historical average (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.92, while resistance sits at $82.50. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AAMI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.92, while resistance sits at $82.50. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AAMI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$72.41 -
$79.90
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($78.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.41 -
$79.90
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.92
Resistance Level
$82.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.47
Wall Street Target
$78.00
(-1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.4%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.4% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$81.49
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$84.26
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$87.13
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$78.95
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 25.5%)
$271.95
(+245%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 25.5%)
$155.70
(+98%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 25.5%)
$132.35
(+68%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.35
Bull Case
$179.65
(+128%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case
$163.32
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.8
Bear Case
$55.53
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is AAMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert J Chersi
SELL
28753 shares
2026-02-11
Barbara Trebbi
SELL
9691 shares
2026-02-10
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