Acadian Asset Management (AAMI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAMI - Acadian Asset Management Inc.
$94.06
2.35 (2.56%)
▲
5d:
+0.79%
30d:
+4.42%
90d:
+28.69%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AAMI trades at premium valuation expecting 6.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: AAMI trades at premium valuation expecting 6.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.58
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAMI is currently trading at $94.06, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.19 to $94.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $95.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $95.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$90.19 -
$94.50
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($91.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.6% growth expectation is conservative given 171% recent growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.19 -
$94.50
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.09
Resistance Level
$95.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.52
Wall Street Target
$91.00
(-3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
45.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
171.4%
Profit Margin
15.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.6% premium
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 12.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.27
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$106.89
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$113.94
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$94.20
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 19.8%)
$227.16
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 19.8%)
$161.64
(+72%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 19.8%)
$133.63
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.81
Bull Case
$201.76
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.9
Base Case
$183.42
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.6
Bear Case
$62.36
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 5:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AAMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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