ABG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABG - Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.
$231.70
-1.44 (-0.62%)
▼
5d:
+2.87%
30d:
+17.01%
90d:
+13.75%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABG shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$341.07
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$211.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABG is currently trading at $231.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $203.49 to $228.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.7) is in line with its historical norms (7.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $209.82, while resistance sits at $257.21.
Market Sentiment: ABG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.20 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABG is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $209.82, while resistance sits at $257.21.
Market Sentiment: ABG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $256.20 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$203.49 -
$228.53
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($256.20)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with 0.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$203.49 -
$228.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$209.82
Resistance Level
$257.21
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.68
Wall Street Target
$256.20
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.4%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 7.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$235.41
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$239.17
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$243.00
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$231.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.4%)
$937.56
(+305%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 14.4%)
$347.29
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 14.4%)
$295.20
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $25.23
Bull Case
$306.71
(+32%)
Analyst growth 19.6%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$278.83
(+20%)
Market implied 19.6%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case
$158.54
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 10:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
B. Christopher Disantis
BUY
500 shares
2026-03-10
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