ABG
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.
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Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$206.38
-3.84 (-1.83%)
▼
5d:
+4.35%
30d:
+25.9%
90d:
-1.45%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
29/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$165.44 – $199.51
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.4x
FAIR
vs 7.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$225.18
+9.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$188.19 / $215.77
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ABG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$292.20
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$181.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABG is currently trading at $206.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $165.44 to $199.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (7.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $188.19, while resistance sits at $215.77.
Market Sentiment: ABG scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $188.19, while resistance sits at $215.77.
Market Sentiment: ABG scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$165.44 -
$199.51
Company Quality Score
29/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$165.44 -
$199.51
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$188.19
Resistance Level
$215.77
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($225.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.6% growth with -8.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.44
Wall Street Target
$225.18
(+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.4%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 7.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$209.68
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$213.04
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$216.45
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$206.57
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.5%)
$784.26
(+280%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$293.78
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$249.72
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $25.24
Bull Case
$254.15
(+23%)
Analyst growth 9.9%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$231.05
(+12%)
Market implied 9.9%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$142.95
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ABG)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 8, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) reported lower-than-expected Q3 earnings and revenue, with Unit sales - New vehicle and Average selling price - New vehicle also missing estimates. Revenues from New and Used vehicles saw year-over-year declines.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings Miss
Revenue Miss
Unit Sales Miss
Average Selling Price Miss
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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