ABG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABG - Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.
$211.97
0.24 (0.11%)
▲
5d:
+3.2%
30d:
+5.44%
90d:
+4.91%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ABG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ABG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$332.26
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$206.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABG is currently trading at $211.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $194.87 to $206.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (7.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 47.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $216.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ABG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $216.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ABG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$194.87 -
$206.78
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($232.30)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$194.87 -
$206.78
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$196.49
Resistance Level
$216.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.16
Wall Street Target
$232.30
(+9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.1%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 7.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$210.70
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$209.43
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$208.18
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$212.17
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.1%)
$956.59
(+351%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 14.1%)
$314.59
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 14.1%)
$267.40
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $29.26
Bull Case
$235.56
(+11%)
Analyst growth 1.1%, PE expands to 8.0
Base Case
$214.14
(+1%)
Market implied 1.1%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$143.98
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.2 to 7.3
Stabilization Target:
$216.03
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
B. Christopher Disantis
BUY
500 shares
2026-03-10
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