ABM ABM Industries, Inc. SERVICES-TO DWELLINGS & OTHER BUILDINGS

ABM Industries (ABM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$54.05
-0.74 (-1.35%) â–ŧ
5d: -1.24% 30d: +6.63% 90d: +12.32%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (37%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$50.22 – $54.15
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.6x STRETCHED
vs 10.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$55.93
+2.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$52.10 / $55.70
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: ABM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.6% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$61.40
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.13
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ABM is currently trading at $54.05, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.22 to $54.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $52.10, while resistance sits at $55.70.

Market Sentiment: ABM scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $50.22 - $54.15
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 37.1%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $50.22 - $54.15
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level $52.10
Resistance Level $55.70
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.93)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.6% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.59
Wall Street Target $55.93 (+2.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 25.6%
Profit Margin 1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +6.6% premium
PE vs Historical 12.6 vs 10.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +6.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $58.41 (+7%)
2-Year Target $62.26 (+14%)
3-Year Target $66.37 (+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→10) PE COMPRESSION $54.83 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.6%) $110.75 (+102%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 8.6%) $70.20 (+28%)
Bear: (PE: 10.4, Growth: 8.6%) $58.00 (+6%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.81
Bull Case $91.61 (+67%)
Analyst growth 54.9%, PE expands to 21.1
Base Case $83.29 (+52%)
Market implied 54.9%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case $36.56 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ABM)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 23, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: StockTwits user expresses bullish sentiment towards $ABM following an alert from Edwards Alerts.
Key Retail Themes: Bullish sentiment towards $ABM Positive news from Edwards Alerts
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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