ABM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABM - ABM Industries, Inc.
$45.36
0.76 (1.70%)
▲
5d:
+2.16%
30d:
+1.09%
90d:
+15.63%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ABM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.72
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABM is currently trading at $45.36, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.04 to $45.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.43 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.43 (+15.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$43.04 -
$45.45
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($52.43)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.04 -
$45.45
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.61
Resistance Level
$45.56
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.42
Wall Street Target
$52.43
(+15.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.0%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.18
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$47.01
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$47.85
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.48
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$124.50
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 9.5%)
$59.54
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 9.5%)
$50.61
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.60
Bull Case
$81.86
(+84%)
Analyst growth 67.5%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$74.42
(+67%)
Market implied 67.5%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$30.21
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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