ABM Industries (ABM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABM - ABM Industries, Inc.
$48.46
0.36 (0.75%)
▲
5d:
-2.18%
30d:
+4.42%
90d:
+9.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 08, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ABM is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ABM is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.22
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABM is currently trading at $48.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.23 to $49.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.93 (+15.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $47.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.93 (+15.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$47.23 -
$49.89
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($55.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.23 -
$49.89
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.62
Resistance Level
$50.51
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.13
Wall Street Target
$55.93
(+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.6%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.87
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$51.31
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$52.80
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$48.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.6%)
$113.76
(+135%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 8.6%)
$62.09
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 8.6%)
$52.78
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.73
Bull Case
$84.36
(+74%)
Analyst growth 59.4%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$76.69
(+58%)
Market implied 59.4%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$32.71
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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