ABM Industries (ABM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABM - ABM Industries, Inc.
$53.04
0.76 (1.45%)
▲
5d:
+4.49%
30d:
+6.74%
90d:
+11.15%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 08, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ABM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ABM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.81
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABM is currently trading at $53.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.74 to $51.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (10.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ABM scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $52.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ABM scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$48.74 -
$51.07
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.93)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.3% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.74 -
$51.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.10
Resistance Level
$52.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.01
Wall Street Target
$55.93
(+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.6%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 10.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.05
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$57.97
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$61.04
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$52.34
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.6%)
$110.75
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 8.6%)
$66.98
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 8.6%)
$56.94
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.76
Bull Case
$89.44
(+71%)
Analyst growth 57.7%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$81.31
(+56%)
Market implied 57.7%, PE stable at 18.7
Bear Case
$35.06
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 10:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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