ABM Industries (ABM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ABM - ABM Industries, Inc.
$49.43
0.36 (0.73%)
▲
5d:
+4.66%
30d:
+2.06%
90d:
+7.08%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 08, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ABM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ABM is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.61
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ABM is currently trading at $49.43, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.79 to $48.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.77, while resistance sits at $51.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ABM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.77, while resistance sits at $51.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$46.79 -
$48.94
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($54.07)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.79 -
$48.94
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.77
Resistance Level
$51.29
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.33
Wall Street Target
$54.07
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.6%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$51.31
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$53.26
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$55.28
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$49.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.2%)
$114.57
(+132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 9.2%)
$64.35
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 9.2%)
$54.70
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.72
Bull Case
$86.58
(+75%)
Analyst growth 60.4%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$78.71
(+59%)
Market implied 60.4%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$33.37
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 3:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ABM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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