ACA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACA - Arcosa, Inc. Common Stock
$144.73
-0.11 (-0.08%)
▼
5d:
-0.41%
30d:
-0.19%
90d:
+11.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When ACA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACA trades at premium valuation expecting 5.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ACA trades at premium valuation expecting 5.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$212.81
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$132.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACA is currently trading at $144.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $144.83 to $145.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.3) compared to its historical average (24.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $144.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $144.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$144.83 -
$145.25
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($146.67)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 5.5% growth expectation is conservative given 449% recent growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (44/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$144.83 -
$145.25
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$144.70
Resistance Level
$145.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.27
Wall Street Target
$146.67
(+1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
448.6%
Profit Margin
16.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
28.3 vs 24.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$152.69
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$161.09
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$169.95
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$144.88
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.3, Growth: 19.3%)
$245.67
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 19.3%)
$175.80
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 19.3%)
$149.43
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.48
Bull Case
$182.07
(+26%)
Analyst growth 14.3%, PE expands to 35.6
Base Case
$165.52
(+14%)
Market implied 14.3%, PE stable at 32.3
Bear Case
$98.49
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 10, 2026 8:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:35 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ACA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Engineering & Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Engineering & Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PWR
Quanta Services Inc |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$767 | 36 SELL |
|
MTZ
MasTec Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$427 | 61 BUY |
|
DY
Dycom Industries Inc |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$637 | 61 BUY |
|
PRIM
Primoris Services Corpor… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$122 | 43 HOLD |
|
APG
Api Group Corp |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$52 | 45 HOLD |
