STN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STN - Stantec, Inc.
$68.77
-0.48 (-0.69%)
▼
5d:
-2.72%
30d:
-3.6%
90d:
-20.46%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STN trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.5% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$133.63
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$82.98
17.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STN is currently trading at $68.77, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.22 to $71.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.0) compared to its historical average (13.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.28 (+37.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $72.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.28 (+37.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$68.22 -
$71.95
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.1% below Wall St target ($94.28)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.22 -
$71.95
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.58
Resistance Level
$77.66
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.98
Wall Street Target
$94.28
(+37.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.0 vs 13.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.24
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$56.32
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$50.97
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→14)
$68.93
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.1%)
$205.72
(+199%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 11.1%)
$94.30
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 11.1%)
$80.15
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.02
Bull Case
$152.35
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case
$138.50
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case
$47.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.0 to 13.5
Stabilization Target:
$92.99
(+35.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 7:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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