Stantec (STN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STN - Stantec, Inc.
$67.45
0.31 (0.46%)
▲
5d:
-2.27%
30d:
-7.17%
90d:
-4.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$128.08
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.53
15.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STN is currently trading at $67.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.54 to $73.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.28 (+39.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $66.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.28 (+39.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$68.54 -
$73.22
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.8% below Wall St target ($94.28)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.54 -
$73.22
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.73
Resistance Level
$71.69
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.74
Wall Street Target
$94.28
(+39.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 12.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.72
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$56.47
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$51.67
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$67.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 11.7%)
$196.59
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 11.7%)
$93.89
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.3, Growth: 11.7%)
$79.81
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.12
Bull Case
$147.71
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.7
Base Case
$134.28
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.5
Bear Case
$45.66
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$87.92
(+30.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 7:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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