Stantec (STN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STN - Stantec, Inc.
$69.66
-0.38 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
-4.63%
30d:
-6.18%
90d:
-3.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.84
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.62
13.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STN is currently trading at $69.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.96 to $74.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (12.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STN scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.28 (+35.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $69.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: STN scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.28 (+35.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$71.96 -
$74.74
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.3% below Wall St target ($94.28)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.96 -
$74.74
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.00
Resistance Level
$75.24
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.06
Wall Street Target
$94.28
(+35.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 12.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.02
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$58.83
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$54.07
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$69.33
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 11.6%)
$194.25
(+179%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 11.6%)
$96.88
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 11.6%)
$82.35
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.19
Bull Case
$154.09
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.2
Base Case
$140.08
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case
$47.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 12.9
Stabilization Target:
$89.33
(+28.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 2:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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