Stantec (STN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STN - Stantec, Inc.
$72.77
2.55 (3.63%)
▲
5d:
+5.17%
30d:
+2.96%
90d:
+7.87%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: STN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$125.33
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.82
6.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STN is currently trading at $72.77, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.20 to $70.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.5) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 11.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: STN scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.28 (+29.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: STN scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.28 (+29.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$67.20 -
$70.42
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
33.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 29.6% below Wall St target ($94.28)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.20 -
$70.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.18
Resistance Level
$73.03
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.53
Wall Street Target
$94.28
(+29.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 12.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.69
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$64.85
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$61.22
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$72.70
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.5%)
$190.13
(+161%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 11.5%)
$100.77
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 11.5%)
$85.65
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.20
Bull Case
$154.48
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$140.44
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.9
Bear Case
$47.75
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.5 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$86.42
(+18.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 8:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:15 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is STN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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