ACMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACMR - ACM Research, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$79.41
0.89 (1.13%)
â˛
5d:
-1.26%
30d:
-10.19%
90d:
+10.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 19, 2026 at $77.59 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACMR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACMR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$131.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.92
3.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACMR is currently trading at $79.41, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.26 to $89.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.3) is in line with its historical norms (28.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $75.45, while resistance sits at $88.81.
Market Sentiment: ACMR scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.14 (+45.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $75.45, while resistance sits at $88.81.
Market Sentiment: ACMR scores 26/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.14 (+45.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$76.26 -
$89.69
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (26/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.0% below Wall St target ($115.14)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.26 -
$89.69
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.45
Resistance Level
$88.81
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.30
Wall Street Target
$115.14
(+45.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
180.6%
Profit Margin
14.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
29.3 vs 28.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.05
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$80.69
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$81.33
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29â29)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.38
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.3, Growth: 34.8%)
$194.62
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 34.8%)
$133.30
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 34.8%)
$113.31
(+43%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case
$109.51
(+38%)
Analyst growth 26.6%, PE expands to 40.4
Base Case
$99.55
(+25%)
Market implied 26.6%, PE stable at 36.7
Bear Case
$53.46
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles C Pappis
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-17
Tracy Liu
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-11
Tracy Liu
SELL
45000 shares
2026-03-10
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Advanced ACMR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACMR price and gamma walls.
