ACM Research (ACMR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACMR - ACM Research, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$83.58
2.66 (3.29%)
▲
5d:
+9.71%
30d:
+19.33%
90d:
-14.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ACMR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ACMR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$140.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.45
4.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACMR is currently trading at $83.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.08 to $78.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.9) is in line with its historical norms (28.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $85.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACMR scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.88 (+38.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $85.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACMR scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.88 (+38.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$69.08 -
$78.97
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.8% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.6% below Wall St target ($115.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.08 -
$78.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.77
Resistance Level
$85.23
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.89
Wall Street Target
$115.88
(+38.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
180.6%
Profit Margin
14.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
28.9 vs 28.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.17
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$84.75
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$85.35
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$83.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.9, Growth: 34.3%)
$202.51
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 34.3%)
$142.98
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 34.3%)
$121.54
(+45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.27
Bull Case
$113.43
(+36%)
Analyst growth 27.4%, PE expands to 39.2
Base Case
$103.12
(+23%)
Market implied 27.4%, PE stable at 35.7
Bear Case
$55.03
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles C Pappis
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-17
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