ACM Research (ACMR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACMR - ACM Research, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$54.69
-0.27 (-0.49%)
▼
5d:
-10.52%
30d:
-27.85%
90d:
-38.15%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACMR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ACMR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$88.88
38.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACMR is currently trading at $54.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.85 to $78.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.6) compared to its historical average (27.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 180.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $52.95, while resistance sits at $73.33.
Market Sentiment: ACMR scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.33 (+110.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $52.95, while resistance sits at $73.33.
Market Sentiment: ACMR scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.33 (+110.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$64.85 -
$78.79
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 110.9% below Wall St target ($115.33)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 25% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.85 -
$78.79
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.96
Resistance Level
$73.34
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.60
Wall Street Target
$115.33
(+110.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
180.6%
Profit Margin
14.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 27.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.22
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$44.30
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$39.87
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→28)
$59.80
(+9%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 37.5%)
$151.65
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 37.5%)
$142.04
(+160%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 37.5%)
$120.73
(+121%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.12
Bull Case
$83.85
(+53%)
Analyst growth 38.7%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case
$76.22
(+39%)
Market implied 38.7%, PE stable at 25.9
Bear Case
$37.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 27.9
Stabilization Target:
$82.03
(+50.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+50.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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