ACM Research (ACMR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACMR - ACM Research, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$72.00
-0.39 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
+3.72%
30d:
-11.4%
90d:
-21.48%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $74.44 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACMR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ACMR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$140.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.45
17.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACMR is currently trading at $72.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.11 to $82.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.9) compared to its historical average (28.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 180.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $66.42, while resistance sits at $80.20.
Market Sentiment: ACMR scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $117.75 (+63.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $66.42, while resistance sits at $80.20.
Market Sentiment: ACMR scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $117.75 (+63.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$74.11 -
$82.38
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 63.5% below Wall St target ($117.75)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.11 -
$82.38
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$66.42
Resistance Level
$80.20
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.89
Wall Street Target
$117.75
(+63.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
180.6%
Profit Margin
14.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.9 vs 28.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.83
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$65.80
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$62.91
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→29)
$72.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.9, Growth: 34.3%)
$174.45
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 34.3%)
$141.37
(+96%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 34.3%)
$120.17
(+67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.08
Bull Case
$110.75
(+54%)
Analyst growth 39.1%, PE expands to 38.3
Base Case
$100.68
(+40%)
Market implied 39.1%, PE stable at 34.8
Bear Case
$49.23
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.9 to 28.5
Stabilization Target:
$82.44
(+14.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles C Pappis
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-17
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Advanced ACMR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ACMR price and gamma walls.
