ACMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACMR - ACM Research, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$99.12
-4.05 (-3.93%)
▼
5d:
+4.11%
30d:
+38.46%
90d:
+121.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACMR trades at premium valuation expecting 21.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ACMR trades at premium valuation expecting 21.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACMR is currently trading at $99.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.43 to $97.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 45.8) compared to its historical average (25.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 21.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.19, while resistance sits at $111.41. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACMR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $88.63. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.19, while resistance sits at $111.41. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACMR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $88.63. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$73.43 -
$97.08
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ACMR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BEARISH: Trading 14.1% above Wall St target ($88.63)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 21.7% growth with 34.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.43 -
$97.08
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.19
Resistance Level
$111.41
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
45.79
Wall Street Target
$88.63
(-14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.7%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+21.7% premium
PE vs Historical
45.8 vs 25.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+21.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$125.56
(+22%)
2-Year Target
$152.80
(+48%)
3-Year Target
$185.96
(+80%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$103.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 45.8, Growth: 34.4%)
$250.41
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.4%)
$119.12
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 34.4%)
$101.25
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (79x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (46x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 79.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.31
Bull Case
$196.30
(+90%)
Analyst growth 72.0%, PE expands to 87.1
Base Case
$178.46
(+73%)
Market implied 72.0%, PE stable at 79.2
Bear Case
$70.55
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 67.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 3:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles C Pappis
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-17
Tracy Liu
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-11
Tracy Liu
SELL
45000 shares
2026-03-10
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