ACMR
ACM Research, Inc. Class A Common Stock
SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY, NEC
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ACM Research (ACMR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$48.67
-1.08 (-2.17%)
▼
5d:
+7.37%
30d:
-28.53%
90d:
-40.11%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
57/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$45.54 – $70.34
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.6x
CHEAP
vs 27.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$103.56
+112.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$37.47 / $55.00
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ACMR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 15.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$143.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$88.88
45.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACMR is currently trading at $48.67, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.54 to $70.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (27.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $37.47, while resistance sits at $55.00.
Market Sentiment: ACMR scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.56 (+112.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $37.47, while resistance sits at $55.00.
Market Sentiment: ACMR scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.56 (+112.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$45.54 -
$70.34
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$45.54 -
$70.34
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$37.47
Resistance Level
$55.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 112.8% below Wall St target ($103.56)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.55
Wall Street Target
$103.56
(+112.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-96.2%
Profit Margin
10.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 27.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.80
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$39.42
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$35.48
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→27)
$58.51
(+20%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 37.5%)
$151.65
(+212%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 37.5%)
$126.40
(+160%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 37.5%)
$107.44
(+121%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.60
Bull Case
$100.56
(+107%)
Analyst growth 83.8%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$91.42
(+88%)
Market implied 83.8%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$33.83
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 27.3
Stabilization Target:
$80.27
(+64.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+64.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ACMR)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
ACM Research reported strong Q3 results, driven by advanced packaging and plating demand, and raised full-year 2026 guidance.
Key Retail Themes:
Revenue growth
Capacity expansion
Market share gains
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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