ACMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACMR - ACM Research, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$95.27
12.75 (15.45%)
▲
5d:
-3.67%
30d:
-13.29%
90d:
+91.73%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
16d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACMR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACMR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$109.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACMR is currently trading at $95.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.50 to $109.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 42.3) compared to its historical average (27.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $77.46, while resistance sits at $108.82. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 15.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACMR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $77.46, while resistance sits at $108.82. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 15.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$89.50 -
$109.99
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+15.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($102.14)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 14.9% growth with 34.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.50 -
$109.99
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$77.46
Resistance Level
$108.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
42.28
Wall Street Target
$102.14
(+7.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.7%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.9% premium
PE vs Historical
42.3 vs 27.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.47
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$125.78
(+32%)
3-Year Target
$144.52
(+52%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$95.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.3, Growth: 34.4%)
$231.23
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.9, Growth: 34.4%)
$114.58
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.8, Growth: 34.4%)
$97.39
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (63x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (42x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 62.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.31
Bull Case
$156.13
(+64%)
Analyst growth 72.0%, PE expands to 69.3
Base Case
$141.94
(+49%)
Market implied 72.0%, PE stable at 63.0
Bear Case
$56.11
(-41%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 53.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 21, 2026 6:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Charles C Pappis
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-17
Tracy Liu
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-11
Tracy Liu
SELL
45000 shares
2026-03-10
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