ACNB (ACNB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$66.74
-0.05 (-0.07%)
▼
5d:
-1.14%
30d:
+6.43%
90d:
+2.85%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (47%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$63.09 – $66.19
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.7x
FAIR
vs 10.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$70.33
+5.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$64.65 / $68.85
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ACNB shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.62
Based on -13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACNB is currently trading at $66.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $63.09 to $66.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.7) compared to its historical average (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACNB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.64, while resistance sits at $68.85.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACNB is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.64, while resistance sits at $68.85.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 44/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$63.09 -
$66.19
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$63.09 -
$66.19
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$64.65
Resistance Level
$68.85
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (44/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($70.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.70
Wall Street Target
$70.33
(+5.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Profit Margin
34.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 10.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.48
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$72.32
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$75.29
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$66.90
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -30.6%)
$112.22
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: -30.6%)
$66.13
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: -30.6%)
$56.21
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.40
Bull Case
$77.58
(+16%)
Analyst growth 5.6%, PE expands to 13.6
Base Case
$70.53
(+6%)
Market implied 5.6%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$45.42
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACNB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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