ACRES Commercial Realty (ACR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ACR - ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$10.42
-0.07 (-0.62%) ▼
5d: -0.53%
30d: -12.26%
90d: -40.99%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 12d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -24.7% annual earnings decline despite 272% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.71
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.62
64.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ACR is currently trading at $10.41, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.96 to $12.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 272.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ACR scores 86/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.00 (+119.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $9.96 - $12.34
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (86/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 119.5% below Wall St target ($23.00)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 86/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.96 - $12.34
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.91
Resistance Level $10.69
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.56
Wall Street Target $23.00 (+119.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -14.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 272.2%
Profit Margin 16.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -24.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.6 vs 20.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -24.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.43 (-10%)
2-Year Target $8.49 (-19%)
3-Year Target $7.64 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→20) $17.86 (+70%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 410.4%) $82.11 (+684%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 410.4%) $35.37 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 7.3, Growth: 410.4%) $30.06 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 20.0
Stabilization Target: $24.50 (+133.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +133.8%
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 10:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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