ACR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACR - ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.
$16.61
0.11 (0.67%)
▲
5d:
-7.82%
30d:
-15.13%
90d:
-11.74%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ACR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ACR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.16
25.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACR is currently trading at $16.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.66 to $20.62. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.3) is in line with its historical norms (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 272.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $15.61, while resistance sits at $18.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+47.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $15.61, while resistance sits at $18.88.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+47.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$17.66 -
$20.62
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.5% below Wall St target ($24.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.66 -
$20.62
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.61
Resistance Level
$18.88
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.29
Wall Street Target
$24.50
(+47.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
272.2%
Profit Margin
29.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.3 vs 23.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.06
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$15.53
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$15.02
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→24)
$16.57
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.5%)
$41.32
(+149%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.3, Growth: 34.5%)
$40.40
(+143%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.1, Growth: 34.5%)
$34.34
(+107%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.67
Bull Case
$21.13
(+27%)
Analyst growth 16.4%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$19.21
(+16%)
Market implied 16.4%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$11.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.3 to 23.5
Stabilization Target:
$18.33
(+10.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 19, 2026 12:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
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