ACRES Commercial Realty (ACR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$10.33
-0.71 (-6.43%)
▼
5d:
-27.56%
30d:
+1.97%
90d:
-26.84%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
30/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$10.13 – $12.70
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.4x
CHEAP
vs 19.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$17.00
+64.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$10.33 / $14.38
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ACR is down 27.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.78
64.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACR is currently trading at $10.33, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.13 to $12.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (19.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 272.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACR scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+64.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACR scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+64.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.13 -
$12.70
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$10.13 -
$12.70
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$10.33
Resistance Level
$14.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 64.6% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.42
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+64.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-14.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
272.2%
Profit Margin
-91.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-24.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 19.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-24.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.30
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.37
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.53
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→19)
$17.35
(+68%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 411.1%)
$82.22
(+696%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 411.1%)
$34.86
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 411.1%)
$29.63
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 19.4
Stabilization Target:
$23.80
(+130.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+130.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ACR)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Fogel and his team have significantly increased their ownership in ACR, holding over 40% of its common equity.
Key Retail Themes:
insider ownership
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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