ACR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACR - ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.
$17.32
-0.11 (-0.63%)
▼
5d:
-3.78%
30d:
-5.56%
90d:
-9.89%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.16
21.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACR is currently trading at $17.32, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.96 to $18.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.2) is in line with its historical norms (23.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 272.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $16.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+41.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $16.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.50 (+41.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$16.96 -
$18.39
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.5% below Wall St target ($24.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.96 -
$18.39
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.86
Resistance Level
$18.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.21
Wall Street Target
$24.50
(+41.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
272.2%
Profit Margin
29.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.2 vs 23.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.01
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$16.70
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$16.40
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→24)
$17.36
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.2, Growth: 34.5%)
$42.13
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.5%)
$41.32
(+139%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 34.5%)
$35.12
(+103%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.67
Bull Case
$22.32
(+29%)
Analyst growth 16.4%, PE expands to 28.6
Base Case
$20.29
(+17%)
Market implied 16.4%, PE stable at 26.0
Bear Case
$11.85
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.2 to 23.5
Stabilization Target:
$18.33
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
18
Sells
Net
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