ACRES Commercial Realty (ACR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ACR - ACRES Commercial Realty Corp.

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$10.87
-0.19 (-1.72%) ▼
5d: -0.82%
30d: -21.97%
90d: -39.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ACR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.86
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.96
64.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ACR is currently trading at $10.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.63 to $14.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.9) compared to its historical average (20.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 272.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ACR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.91, while resistance sits at $13.98.

Market Sentiment: ACR scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.00 (+111.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $11.63 - $14.45
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 111.6% below Wall St target ($23.00)
  • WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $11.63 - $14.45
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.92
Resistance Level $13.98
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.87
Wall Street Target $23.00 (+111.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -14.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 272.2%
Profit Margin 16.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -24.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.9 vs 20.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -24.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.78 (-10%)
2-Year Target $8.80 (-19%)
3-Year Target $7.92 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→21) $18.66 (+72%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 410.4%) $84.34 (+676%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.9, Growth: 410.4%) $36.69 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 7.5, Growth: 410.4%) $31.18 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.9 to 20.9
Stabilization Target: $25.60 (+135.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +135.5%
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 5:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:35 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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