ADAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADAM - Adamas Trust, Inc. Common Stock
$9.94
0.01 (0.10%)
â˛
5d:
-1.78%
30d:
+15.72%
90d:
+11.94%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ADAM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.12
Based on 2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADAM is currently trading at $9.94, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.84 to $9.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADAM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.58, while resistance sits at $10.36.
Market Sentiment: ADAM scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.12 (+22.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADAM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.58, while resistance sits at $10.36.
Market Sentiment: ADAM scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.12 (+22.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$8.84 -
$9.95
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.0% below Wall St target ($12.12)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.84 -
$9.95
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.58
Resistance Level
$10.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.96
Wall Street Target
$12.13
(+22.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
129.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
53.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.02
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$10.10
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$10.18
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â8)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.97
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 1.4%)
$26.15
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 1.4%)
$10.38
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 1.4%)
$8.82
(-11%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.64
Bull Case
$8.31
(-16%)
Analyst growth -23.9%, PE expands to 6.7
Base Case
$7.56
(-24%)
Market implied -23.9%, PE stable at 6.1
Bear Case
$6.75
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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