ADAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADAM - Adamas Trust, Inc. Common Stock
$9.07
0.13 (1.45%)
▲
5d:
-2.26%
30d:
+2.14%
90d:
+21.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.34
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADAM is currently trading at $9.07, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.85 to $9.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.1) is in line with its historical norms (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADAM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.60, while resistance sits at $9.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.88 (+30.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADAM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.60, while resistance sits at $9.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.88 (+30.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$8.85 -
$9.19
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.9% below Wall St target ($11.88)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.85 -
$9.19
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.60
Resistance Level
$9.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.08
Wall Street Target
$11.88
(+30.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
48.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 7.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.23
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$9.40
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$9.57
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$9.12
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.3%)
$26.98
(+197%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 3.3%)
$10.00
(+10%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 3.3%)
$8.50
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case
$9.46
(+4%)
Analyst growth -4.0%, PE expands to 8.4
Base Case
$8.60
(-5%)
Market implied -4.0%, PE stable at 7.7
Bear Case
$6.09
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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