ADEA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADEA - Adeia Inc. Common Stock
$30.39
-1.42 (-4.46%)
▼
5d:
-6.03%
30d:
+15.29%
90d:
+24.09%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADEA trades at premium valuation expecting 8.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ADEA trades at premium valuation expecting 8.2% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.86
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADEA is currently trading at $30.39, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.58 to $31.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.6) compared to its historical average (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADEA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.07, while resistance sits at $33.61. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+21.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADEA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $29.07, while resistance sits at $33.61. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+21.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$27.58 -
$31.94
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($37.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.2% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.58 -
$31.94
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.08
Resistance Level
$33.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.63
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
26.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.2% premium
PE vs Historical
19.6 vs 15.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.88
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$35.58
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$38.50
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.40
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$43.69
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.6, Growth: 9.0%)
$39.37
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 9.0%)
$31.09
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.09
Bull Case
$49.70
(+56%)
Analyst growth 42.0%, PE expands to 32.1
Base Case
$45.18
(+42%)
Market implied 42.0%, PE stable at 29.2
Bear Case
$21.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADEA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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