ADEA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADEA - Adeia Inc. Common Stock
$27.68
-1.30 (-4.49%)
▼
5d:
-5.63%
30d:
-10.28%
90d:
+3.01%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADEA is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ADEA is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.71
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADEA is currently trading at $27.68, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.51 to $32.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADEA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+33.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADEA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $27.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+33.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$29.51 -
$32.27
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.7% below Wall St target ($37.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.6% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.51 -
$32.27
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.05
Resistance Level
$34.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.88
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+33.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
26.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.81
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$30.00
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$31.23
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.77
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.0%)
$43.69
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 9.0%)
$35.86
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 9.0%)
$30.48
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.09
Bull Case
$45.28
(+64%)
Analyst growth 42.0%, PE expands to 29.3
Base Case
$41.16
(+49%)
Market implied 42.0%, PE stable at 26.6
Bear Case
$19.71
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADEA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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