ADEA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADEA - Adeia Inc. Common Stock
$26.65
1.25 (4.92%)
▲
5d:
+2.7%
30d:
-16.85%
90d:
-16.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADEA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADEA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.92
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADEA is currently trading at $26.65, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.86 to $30.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADEA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.01, while resistance sits at $28.18. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADEA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+38.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADEA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.01, while resistance sits at $28.18. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADEA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+38.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$25.86 -
$30.74
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.8% below Wall St target ($37.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.86 -
$30.74
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.01
Resistance Level
$28.18
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.21
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+38.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
26.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
17.2 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.32
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$28.00
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$28.70
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.68
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.0%)
$41.58
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.2, Growth: 9.0%)
$34.52
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.6, Growth: 9.0%)
$29.35
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.09
Bull Case
$39.69
(+49%)
Analyst growth 42.0%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$36.08
(+35%)
Market implied 42.0%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$17.27
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADEA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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