ADEA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADEA - Adeia Inc. Common Stock
$26.22
0.84 (3.31%)
▲
5d:
-5.27%
30d:
-16.44%
90d:
-9.37%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
13d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADEA is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ADEA is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.0% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.71
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADEA is currently trading at $26.22, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.74 to $32.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADEA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.37, while resistance sits at $30.45. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADEA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+45.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADEA is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $24.37, while resistance sits at $30.45. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADEA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $37.00 (+45.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$27.74 -
$32.12
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 45.8% below Wall St target ($37.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.74 -
$32.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.37
Resistance Level
$30.45
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.39
Wall Street Target
$37.00
(+45.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
26.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 15.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.63
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$25.89
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$26.15
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 9.0%)
$42.14
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 9.0%)
$32.88
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 9.0%)
$27.95
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.02
Bull Case
$43.25
(+70%)
Analyst growth 51.8%, PE expands to 27.9
Base Case
$39.31
(+55%)
Market implied 51.8%, PE stable at 25.4
Bear Case
$17.61
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 20, 2026 1:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADEA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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