AENT
Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation Class A Common Stock
WHOLESALE-DURABLE GOODS, NEC
Best Entertainment Stocks 2026 →
Alliance Entertainment (AENT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$5.20
+0.61 (+13.29%)
▲
5d:
+22.35%
30d:
+15.56%
90d:
-8.13%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
26/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$4.37 – $4.75
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.8x
CHEAP
vs 11.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$9.00
+73.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.20 / $5.33
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AENT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.55
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.55
20.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AENT is currently trading at $5.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.37 to $4.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 24.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AENT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: AENT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+73.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AENT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.33. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 13.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: AENT scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+73.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.37 -
$4.75
Company Quality Score
26/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$4.37 -
$4.75
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$4.20
Resistance Level
$5.33
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.5% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+13.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 73.1% below Wall St target ($9.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 26/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.81
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+73.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.8%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.75
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$4.34
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$3.97
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$5.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.6%)
$17.62
(+239%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 14.6%)
$7.82
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 14.6%)
$6.65
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.26
Bull Case
$10.10
(+94%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.4
Base Case
$9.18
(+77%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$3.12
(-40%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$6.78
(+30.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AENT)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation (AENT) beat earnings and revenue estimates for Q1 FY2027, reporting EPS of $0.14 and revenues of $278.83 million. Gross profit increased by 13% and gross margin expanded to 15.1%.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 12:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AENT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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