Alliance Entertainment (AENT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AENT - Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation Class A Common Stock
$6.42
0.91 (16.52%)
▲
5d:
+24.9%
30d:
+13.03%
90d:
+16.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AENT is 11.1% above its trading range ($5.78). Market expects 7.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AENT is 11.1% above its trading range ($5.78). Market expects 7.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.26
Based on -37.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AENT is currently trading at $6.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.22 to $5.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.3) compared to its historical average (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AENT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.68, while resistance sits at $7.62. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 16.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AENT scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+40.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AENT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.68, while resistance sits at $7.62. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 16.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AENT scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+40.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.22 -
$5.78
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
MODERATE
Confidence Score
51.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+16.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 40.2% below Wall St target ($9.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.5% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.22 -
$5.78
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.68
Resistance Level
$7.62
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.29
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+40.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
24.8%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.5% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 12.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.90
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$7.42
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$7.98
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -78.0%)
$8.27
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: -78.0%)
$6.27
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: -78.0%)
$5.05
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$5.53
(-14%)
Analyst growth -8.7%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$5.03
(-22%)
Market implied -8.7%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$3.75
(-42%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 7:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AENT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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