AGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AGI - Alamos Gold Inc. Class A Common Shares
$30.88
-1.16 (-3.62%)
▼
5d:
-17.96%
30d:
-21.32%
90d:
-23.09%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AGI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AGI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.58
48.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGI is currently trading at $30.88, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.77 to $40.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1144.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: AGI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.75 (+77.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: AGI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.75 (+77.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$34.77 -
$40.04
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AGI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 77.3% below Wall St target ($54.75)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-18.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.77 -
$40.04
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.20
Resistance Level
$39.56
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.84
Wall Street Target
$54.75
(+77.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
79.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1144.7%
Profit Margin
51.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 14.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.79
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$25.01
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$22.51
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→14)
$35.92
(+16%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 35.9%)
$190.96
(+518%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 35.9%)
$77.47
(+151%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 35.9%)
$65.85
(+113%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.51
Bull Case
$55.66
(+74%)
Analyst growth 39.2%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$50.60
(+58%)
Market implied 39.2%, PE stable at 14.5
Bear Case
$24.71
(-23%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 14.1
Stabilization Target:
$49.28
(+59.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+59.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AGI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AGI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AGI price and gamma walls.
