AGX
Argan, Inc
CONSTRUCTION - SPECIAL TRADE CONTRACTORS
Argan (AGX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$322.00
+17.60 (+5.78%)
▲
5d:
+10.78%
30d:
-17.03%
90d:
-42.39%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (90%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$310.09 – $385.50
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
33.7x
CHEAP
vs 53.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$570.50
+77.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
34th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$252.88 / $368.16
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AGX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 14.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$366.71
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$227.70
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AGX is currently trading at $322.00, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $310.09 to $385.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 33.7) compared to its historical average (53.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $252.88, while resistance sits at $368.16. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: AGX scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $570.50 (+77.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AGX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $252.88, while resistance sits at $368.16. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: AGX scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $570.50 (+77.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$310.09 -
$385.50
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
34th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$310.09 -
$385.50
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$35.66
(11.1%)
Support Level
$252.88
Resistance Level
$368.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 34th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 77.2% below Wall St target ($570.50)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 60/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.69
Wall Street Target
$570.50
(+77.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
61.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.4%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
33.7 vs 53.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$289.80
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$260.82
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$234.74
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→54)
$374.19
(+16%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.7, Growth: 14.0%)
$477.59
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$281.56
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 14.0%)
$239.33
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 24.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.65
Bull Case
$253.01
(-21%)
Analyst growth -24.4%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case
$230.01
(-29%)
Market implied -24.4%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case
$206.99
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.7 to 53.7
Stabilization Target:
$513.30
(+59.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+59.4%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AGX)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits is currently showing 100.0% bullish sentiment towards $AGX, with traders expressing their optimism but also caution. No significant news articles were found.
Key Retail Themes:
Bullish outlook
Cautious optimism
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AGX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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