AIG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AIG - American International Group, Inc.
$76.37
2.35 (3.17%)
▲
5d:
+0.83%
30d:
-2.13%
90d:
+2.66%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
Get Alerted When AIG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AIG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AIG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.59
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.78
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AIG is currently trading at $76.37, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.82 to $76.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $78.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: AIG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.80 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $78.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: AIG has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.80 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$73.82 -
$76.99
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($87.80)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.82 -
$76.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.32
Resistance Level
$78.04
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.58
Wall Street Target
$87.80
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.6%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 9.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.84
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$73.35
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$71.88
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$76.23
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.8%)
$263.99
(+246%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 10.8%)
$104.00
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 10.8%)
$88.40
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.68
Bull Case
$127.59
(+67%)
Analyst growth 56.7%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$115.99
(+52%)
Market implied 56.7%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$50.33
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$81.00
(+6.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:10 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AIG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John C Inglis
BUY
14 shares
2025-12-30
Keith Walsh
BUY
5 shares
2025-12-30
Top Rated Insurance - Diversified Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Insurance - Diversified by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
HIG
Hartford Financial Servi… |
BUY
19 analysts |
$148 | 60 BUY |
|
ACGL
Arch Capital Group Ltd. |
BUY
20 analysts |
$109 | 56 HOLD |
|
SLF
Sun Life Financial Inc. |
BUY
13 analysts |
$66 | 62 BUY |
|
WDH
Waterdrop Inc ADR |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$2 | 55 HOLD |
|
FIHL
Fidelis Insurance Holdin… |
HOLD
9 analysts |
$22 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced AIG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AIG price and gamma walls.
