Is AIG stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, AIG is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AIG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of AIG stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for AIG to be between $75.36 and $78.16. The current price is $75.33.

What is the analyst price target for AIG?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for AIG is $88.50. This implies a potential upside of 17.5% from current levels.

American International Group (AIG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AIG - American International Group, Inc.

FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE

$75.33

0.30 (0.40%) ▲

5d: -1.99%

30d: -1.06%

90d: +0.01%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your AIG Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 03, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $75.69 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 6.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AIG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 9.2%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$108.77

Based on 6.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$67.54

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AIG is currently trading at $75.33, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.36 to $78.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AIG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $73.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.50 (+17.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $75.36 - $78.16

Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 77.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($88.50)
WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $75.36 - $78.16

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $73.95

Resistance Level $77.49

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.57

Wall Street Target $88.50 (+17.5%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.1%

Profit Margin 11.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.7% cheaper

PE vs Historical 8.6 vs 9.0 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $74.05 (-2%)

2-Year Target $72.79 (-3%)

3-Year Target $71.55 (-5%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) $75.11 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.2%) $230.85 (+206%)

Base: (SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 9.2%) $98.12 (+30%)

Bear: (PE: 7.3, Growth: 9.2%) $83.40 (+11%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 13.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.48

Bull Case $132.33 (+76%)

Analyst growth 60.3%, PE expands to 15.1

Base Case $120.30 (+60%)

Market implied 60.3%, PE stable at 13.7

Bear Case $51.02 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 9.0

Stabilization Target: $79.08 (+5.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +5.0%

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Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Advanced AIG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AIG price and gamma walls.

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