AIG
American International Group, Inc.
FIRE, MARINE & CASUALTY INSURANCE
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American International Group (AIG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$82.32
+2.69 (+3.38%)
▲
5d:
+2.22%
30d:
+5.95%
90d:
+8.12%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
0d
Protect AIG Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (52%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$77.04 – $81.91
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.4x
FAIR
vs 9.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$88.40
+7.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$77.73 / $82.99
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AIG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $79.28 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.37
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AIG is currently trading at $82.32, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.04 to $81.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $82.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AIG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $82.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$77.04 -
$81.91
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$77.04 -
$81.91
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$77.73
Resistance Level
$82.99
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($88.40)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.39
Wall Street Target
$88.40
(+7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
72.0%
Profit Margin
11.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 9.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.55
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$84.81
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$86.08
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$82.51
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.7%)
$211.64
(+157%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 6.7%)
$100.07
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 6.7%)
$85.06
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.13
Bull Case
$125.27
(+52%)
Analyst growth 43.0%, PE expands to 14.3
Base Case
$113.88
(+38%)
Market implied 43.0%, PE stable at 13.0
Bear Case
$54.15
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AIG)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 17, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bearish sentiment was observed on StockTwits regarding $AIG, while the latest news article on Yahoo Finance discusses American International Group's potential undervaluation based on its financial metrics.
Key Retail Themes:
investor sentiment towards $AIG
valuation of American International Group
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 3:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AIG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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