AKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AKR - Acadia Realty Trust
$21.05
0.02 (0.10%)
▲
5d:
+0.96%
30d:
-4.27%
90d:
-3.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AKR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.8% annual earnings decline despite 400% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AKR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.8% annual earnings decline despite 400% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.71
Based on -10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AKR is currently trading at $21.05, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.88 to $22.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 63.8) compared to its historical average (73.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 400.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AKR scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.75 (+17.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AKR scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.75 (+17.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$20.88 -
$22.38
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
88.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($24.75)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 77/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.88 -
$22.38
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.08
Resistance Level
$21.31
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
63.79
Wall Street Target
$24.75
(+17.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
400.1%
Profit Margin
13.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
63.8 vs 73.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.04
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$19.08
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$18.16
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 64→74)
$21.04
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 63.8, Growth: -24.1%)
$15.35
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: -24.1%)
$4.83
(-77%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -24.1%)
$4.10
(-81%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 60.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.35
Bull Case
$21.81
(+4%)
Analyst growth -5.7%, PE expands to 66.1
Base Case
$19.83
(-6%)
Market implied -5.7%, PE stable at 60.1
Bear Case
$14.30
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 51.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 63.8 to 73.9
Stabilization Target:
$24.39
(+15.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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