AKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AKR - Acadia Realty Trust
$21.29
0.04 (0.19%)
▲
5d:
+0.09%
30d:
-5.5%
90d:
+4.52%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AKR is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AKR is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.42
Based on -12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AKR is currently trading at $21.29, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.23 to $22.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 76.0) is in line with its historical norms (74.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AKR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.86 (+12.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AKR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.86 (+12.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$21.23 -
$22.05
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.86)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.23 -
$22.05
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.79
Resistance Level
$22.06
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
76.04
Wall Street Target
$23.86
(+12.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2060.3%
Profit Margin
11.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
76.0 vs 74.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.44
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$21.59
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$21.74
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 76→74)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.27
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 76.0, Growth: -29.1%)
$15.52
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -29.1%)
$4.45
(-79%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -29.1%)
$3.78
(-82%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 68.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.31
Bull Case
$21.11
(-1%)
Analyst growth -9.7%, PE expands to 75.4
Base Case
$19.19
(-10%)
Market implied -9.7%, PE stable at 68.6
Bear Case
$14.45
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 58.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 7:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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