AKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AKR - Acadia Realty Trust
$21.25
0.12 (0.57%)
▲
5d:
-3.8%
30d:
-0.79%
90d:
+9.59%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AKR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.7% annual earnings decline despite 2060% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AKR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.7% annual earnings decline despite 2060% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.48
Based on -7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AKR is currently trading at $21.25, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.28 to $22.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 66.4) compared to its historical average (74.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2060.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$21.28 -
$22.22
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.28 -
$22.22
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.96
Resistance Level
$22.90
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
66.41
Wall Street Target
$23.50
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2060.3%
Profit Margin
11.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
66.4 vs 74.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.46
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$19.71
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$18.98
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 66→74)
$21.26
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 66.4, Growth: -17.9%)
$15.49
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: -17.9%)
$5.08
(-76%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: -17.9%)
$4.32
(-80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (68x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (66x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 68.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.31
Bull Case
$23.99
(+13%)
Analyst growth 3.2%, PE expands to 75.0
Base Case
$21.81
(+3%)
Market implied 3.2%, PE stable at 68.2
Bear Case
$14.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 57.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 66.4 to 74.4
Stabilization Target:
$23.81
(+12.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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