Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AKR - Acadia Realty Trust
$18.20
-0.28 (-1.52%)
▼
5d:
+0.61%
30d:
-6.04%
90d:
-17.24%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AKR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AKR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.31
Based on -4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AKR is currently trading at $18.20, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.39 to $19.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 44.4) compared to its historical average (70.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 400.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.43 (+28.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.43 (+28.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$18.39 -
$19.68
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.7% below Wall St target ($23.43)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (52/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.39 -
$19.68
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.96
Resistance Level
$18.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
44.39
Wall Street Target
$23.43
(+28.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
400.1%
Profit Margin
13.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
44.4 vs 70.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.38
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.74
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.27
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 44→71)
$21.07
(+16%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 44.4, Growth: -11.9%)
$13.27
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -11.9%)
$5.94
(-67%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -11.9%)
$5.05
(-72%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (44x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 54.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.34
Bull Case
$24.51
(+35%)
Analyst growth 20.6%, PE expands to 59.8
Base Case
$22.28
(+22%)
Market implied 20.6%, PE stable at 54.4
Bear Case
$12.57
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 46.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 44.4 to 70.5
Stabilization Target:
$28.90
(+58.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+58.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 21, 2026 11:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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