Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$19.85
-0.12 (-0.60%)
▼
5d:
+3.66%
30d:
+8.17%
90d:
-4.11%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (26%)
Quality Score
44/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$18.22 – $19.38
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
52.9x
CHEAP
vs 69.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$23.14
+16.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$18.55 / $20.21
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AKR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.65
Based on -6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AKR is currently trading at $19.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.22 to $19.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 52.9) compared to its historical average (69.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 400.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AKR scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.14 (+16.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.21. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AKR scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.14 (+16.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.22 -
$19.38
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$18.22 -
$19.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$18.55
Resistance Level
$20.21
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.14)
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
52.93
Wall Street Target
$23.14
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
400.1%
Profit Margin
11.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
52.9 vs 69.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.16
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$16.62
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$15.21
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 53→69)
$19.85
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 52.9, Growth: -16.7%)
$14.47
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -16.7%)
$5.43
(-73%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: -16.7%)
$4.61
(-77%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (74x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (53x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 73.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.27
Bull Case
$30.51
(+54%)
Analyst growth 38.9%, PE expands to 81.4
Base Case
$27.74
(+40%)
Market implied 38.9%, PE stable at 74.0
Bear Case
$13.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 62.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 52.9 to 69.1
Stabilization Target:
$25.91
(+30.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+30.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AKR)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Jul 6, 2021
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on AKR are bearish (sentiment score -0.10) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 12:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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