Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AKR - Acadia Realty Trust
$19.72
-0.21 (-1.03%)
▼
5d:
-2.79%
30d:
-4.76%
90d:
-10.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AKR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AKR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.33
Based on -5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AKR is currently trading at $19.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.36 to $21.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 58.6) compared to its historical average (73.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 400.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AKR scores 3/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.71 (+24.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.76. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AKR scores 3/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.71 (+24.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.36 -
$21.34
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (3/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.1% below Wall St target ($24.71)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.36 -
$21.34
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.76
Resistance Level
$21.12
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
58.59
Wall Street Target
$24.71
(+24.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
400.1%
Profit Margin
13.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
58.6 vs 73.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.51
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$17.19
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$15.97
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 59→73)
$19.93
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 58.6, Growth: -15.0%)
$14.52
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: -15.0%)
$5.00
(-75%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: -15.0%)
$4.25
(-79%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 57.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.35
Bull Case
$21.48
(+8%)
Analyst growth -2.9%, PE expands to 63.2
Base Case
$19.53
(-2%)
Market implied -2.9%, PE stable at 57.4
Bear Case
$13.67
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 48.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 58.6 to 73.1
Stabilization Target:
$24.85
(+24.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 3:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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