Realty Income (O) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

O - Realty Income Corporation

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$59.50
-0.07 (-0.12%) ▼
5d: -3.63%
30d: -4.94%
90d: -3.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Protect Your O Gains
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $61.25 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 6.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: O shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.00
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.56
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: O is currently trading at $59.50, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.02 to $63.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.3) is in line with its historical norms (36.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, O is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.18. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: O scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.16 (+14.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $61.02 - $63.03
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.7%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($68.16)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $61.02 - $63.03
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $59.18
Resistance Level $62.21
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 38.31
Wall Street Target $68.16 (+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 69.2%
Profit Margin 20.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.4% premium
PE vs Historical 38.3 vs 36.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $60.33 (+1%)
2-Year Target $61.18 (+3%)
3-Year Target $62.03 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 38→37) PE COMPRESSION $59.42 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 38.3, Growth: 2.9%) $64.74 (+9%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 2.9%) $34.08 (-43%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 2.9%) $28.97 (-51%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (38x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.36
Bull Case $74.83 (+26%)
Analyst growth 14.2%, PE expands to 48.2
Base Case $68.02 (+14%)
Market implied 14.2%, PE stable at 43.8
Bear Case $40.51 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 13, 2026 4:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:43 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michelle Bushore SELL 7400 shares 2026-04-02
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30

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