O Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

O - Realty Income Corporation

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$63.48
-0.39 (-0.61%) ▼
5d: -3.08%
30d: -0.56%
90d: -0.52%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 1d
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 6.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: O shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.84
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.54
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: O is currently trading at $63.48, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $62.86 to $65.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 37.2) is in line with its historical norms (36.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, O is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $62.86 - $65.24
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($68.01)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $62.86 - $65.24
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $62.96
Resistance Level $66.57
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 37.18
Wall Street Target $68.01 (+7.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 17.9%
Profit Margin 18.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.6% premium
PE vs Historical 37.2 vs 36.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $63.86 (+1%)
2-Year Target $64.24 (+1%)
3-Year Target $64.63 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 37→37) PE COMPRESSION $63.61 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 37.2, Growth: 9.3%) $82.99 (+31%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.3%) $46.27 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 9.3%) $39.33 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (37x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 39.53 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.62
Bull Case $77.12 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 41.5
Base Case $63.87 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 39.5
Bear Case $48.86 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 35.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 03, 2026 5:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:19 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michelle Bushore SELL 7400 shares 2026-04-02
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-24

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