O Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

O - Realty Income Corporation

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$59.72
-0.19 (-0.32%) ▼
5d: -3.97%
30d: -5.88%
90d: -9.52%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your O Gains
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 5.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: O shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.99
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.87
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: O is currently trading at $59.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.99 to $63.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.7) is in line with its historical norms (36.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, O is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.48. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: O has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.45 (+14.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $60.99 - $63.38
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($68.45)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $60.99 - $63.38
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $59.48
Resistance Level $62.93
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 34.69
Wall Street Target $68.45 (+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 17.9%
Profit Margin 18.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 34.7 vs 36.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $58.70 (-2%)
2-Year Target $57.71 (-3%)
3-Year Target $56.73 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 35→37) $59.68 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 34.7, Growth: 10.5%) $80.66 (+35%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 10.5%) $50.94 (-15%)
Bear: (PE: 18.6, Growth: 10.5%) $43.30 (-28%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 50.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.22
Bull Case $96.52 (+57%)
Analyst growth 41.1%, PE expands to 56.1
Base Case $87.74 (+42%)
Market implied 41.1%, PE stable at 51.0
Bear Case $42.29 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 43.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.7 to 36.5
Stabilization Target: $62.83 (+5.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.2%
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 8:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michelle Bushore SELL 7400 shares 2026-04-02
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-24

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