O Realty Income Corporation REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS Best REITs Stocks 2026 →

Realty Income (O) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$59.26
-0.31 (-0.52%) ▼
5d: -0.4% 30d: +7.41% 90d: -5.55%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$54.73 – $58.54
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
38.2x FAIR
vs 36.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$63.35
+6.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$56.61 / $60.08
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: O shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 3, 2026 at $57.50 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026

Strength: 6.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.95
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: O is currently trading at $59.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.73 to $58.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.2) is in line with its historical norms (36.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, O is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.08. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: O scores 23/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $54.73 - $58.54
Company Quality Score 37/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $54.73 - $58.54
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $56.61
Resistance Level $60.08
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (23/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($63.35)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 38.16
Wall Street Target $63.35 (+6.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 23.8%
Profit Margin 21.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.3% premium
PE vs Historical 38.2 vs 36.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $60.03 (+1%)
2-Year Target $60.81 (+3%)
3-Year Target $61.60 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 38→37) PE COMPRESSION $59.25 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 38.2, Growth: 49.2%) $60.14 (+2%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 49.2%) $31.30 (-47%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 49.2%) $26.60 (-55%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (38x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.46
Bull Case $69.70 (+18%)
Analyst growth 6.4%, PE expands to 44.9
Base Case $63.36 (+7%)
Market implied 6.4%, PE stable at 40.8
Bear Case $40.51 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (O)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: The latest article discusses Realty Income Corporation (O) as a long-term investment due to its reliable dividend record and Warren Buffett's 10-year test. The stock was ranked 8th in Insider Monkey's list of retirement stocks.
Key Retail Themes: long-term investment potential reliable dividend record
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:04 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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