ALHC
Alignment Healthcare, Inc. Common Stock
HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS
Alignment Healthcare (ALHC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$7.67
+0.40 (+5.50%)
â˛
5d:
+3.79%
30d:
-5.19%
90d:
-43.27%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (84%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$7.56 â $8.46
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.8x
CHEAP
vs 29.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$10.79
+40.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$6.90 / $8.55
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ALHC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -22.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 4, 2026 at $8.17 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 8.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.78
54.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALHC is currently trading at $7.67, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.56 to $8.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (29.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 22.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 142.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALHC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.90, while resistance sits at $8.55. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.79 (+40.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALHC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.90, while resistance sits at $8.55. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.79 (+40.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$7.56 -
$8.46
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$7.56 -
$8.46
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$6.90
Resistance Level
$8.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALHC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 40.7% below Wall St target ($10.79)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.82
Wall Street Target
$10.79
(+40.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
36.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
142.9%
Profit Margin
0.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-22.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 29.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-22.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.90
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.21
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.59
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â29)
$11.77
(+54%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 109.4%)
$37.20
(+385%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 109.4%)
$25.89
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 109.4%)
$22.00
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (52x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 51.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.14
Bull Case
$15.99
(+109%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 57.1
Base Case
$14.54
(+90%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 51.9
Bear Case
$4.94
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 44.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 29.1
Stabilization Target:
$16.15
(+110.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+110.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ALHC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on $ALHC is driven by a StockTwits user expressing confidence in the stock based on CEO Wu's projections for a strong 2027.
Key Retail Themes:
CEO optimism
Stock recommendation
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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