ALHC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALHC - Alignment Healthcare, Inc. Common Stock
$14.85
-3.76 (-20.20%)
▼
5d:
-23.57%
30d:
-38.15%
90d:
-34.12%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALHC is down 23.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ALHC is down 23.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.84
32.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALHC is currently trading at $14.85, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.90 to $23.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (35.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALHC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.13, while resistance sits at $21.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 20.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.92 (+67.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALHC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.13, while resistance sits at $21.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 20.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.92 (+67.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$18.90 -
$23.15
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ALHC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-20.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 67.8% below Wall St target ($24.92)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -23.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.90 -
$23.15
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.14
Resistance Level
$21.80
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.55
Wall Street Target
$24.92
(+67.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.3%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 35.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.36
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$12.03
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.83
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→35)
$18.65
(+26%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 52.1%)
$50.55
(+240%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 52.1%)
$50.12
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 52.1%)
$42.60
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.6 to 35.4
Stabilization Target:
$25.58
(+72.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+72.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 4:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALHC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dawn Christine Maroney
SELL
30000 shares
2026-04-15
John E Kao
SELL
82299 shares
2026-04-13
John E Kao
SELL
215701 shares
2026-04-10
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Advanced ALHC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALHC price and gamma walls.
