AMBA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMBA - Ambarella, Inc. Ordinary Shares
$69.97
4.09 (6.21%)
▲
5d:
+6.34%
30d:
-8.76%
90d:
+25.26%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMBA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMBA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.87
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMBA is currently trading at $69.97, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.28 to $84.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 104.3) is in line with its historical norms (100.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMBA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $71.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.75 (+34.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMBA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $71.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $93.75 (+34.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$67.28 -
$84.60
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 34.0% below Wall St target ($93.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.28 -
$84.60
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.80
Resistance Level
$71.25
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
104.34
Wall Street Target
$93.75
(+34.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
-17.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
104.3 vs 100.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.88
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$71.80
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$72.73
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 104→101)
PE COMPRESSION
$70.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 104.3, Growth: 12.5%)
$99.72
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$20.82
(-70%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.5%)
$17.69
(-75%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 20, 2026 3:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMBA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Alexander Young
SELL
1971 shares
2026-04-21
Chan W Lee
SELL
3641 shares
2026-03-19
Chi-Hong Ju
SELL
2155 shares
2026-03-19
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMBA price and gamma walls.
