AMBA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMBA - Ambarella, Inc. Ordinary Shares
$86.00
11.91 (16.08%)
▲
5d:
+26.36%
30d:
-2.65%
90d:
+25.0%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
24d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
Get Alerted When AMBA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: AMBA is 9.4% above its trading range ($78.63). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: AMBA is 9.4% above its trading range ($78.63). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.87
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMBA is currently trading at $86.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.60 to $78.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 128.2) compared to its historical average (101.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMBA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $62.45, while resistance sits at $91.34. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 16.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMBA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.00 (+10.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMBA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $62.45, while resistance sits at $91.34. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 16.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMBA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.00 (+10.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$64.60 -
$78.63
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMBA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+16.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($95.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.1% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.60 -
$78.63
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.45
Resistance Level
$91.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
128.24
Wall Street Target
$95.00
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.9%
Profit Margin
-17.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.1% premium
PE vs Historical
128.2 vs 101.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.97
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$100.50
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$108.64
(+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 128→102)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.07
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 128.2, Growth: 12.5%)
$122.57
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 12.5%)
$19.81
(-77%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 12.5%)
$16.84
(-80%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 2:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AMBA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John Alexander Young
SELL
1971 shares
2026-04-21
Chan W Lee
SELL
3641 shares
2026-03-19
Chi-Hong Ju
SELL
2155 shares
2026-03-19
Top Rated Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductor Equipment & Materials by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AMAT
Applied Materials Inc |
STRONG BUY
39 analysts |
$628 | 55 HOLD |
|
ASML
ASML Holding NV ADR |
STRONG BUY
44 analysts |
$2140 | 46 HOLD |
|
LRCX
Lam Research Corp |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$368 | 52 HOLD |
|
KLAC
KLA Corporation |
BUY
30 analysts |
$231 | 54 HOLD |
|
TER
Teradyne Inc |
BUY
17 analysts |
$450 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced AMBA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMBA price and gamma walls.
