AMKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMKR - Amkor Technology Inc

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$50.26
-0.60 (-1.18%) β–Ό
5d: -14.8%
30d: -23.07%
90d: -23.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 18, 2026 at $54.47 · last confirmed Aug 20, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMKR is down 14.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.17
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.96
17.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMKR is currently trading at $50.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.30 to $64.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.8) compared to its historical average (25.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 218.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMKR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $49.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.11 (+53.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $50.30 - $64.45
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 53.4% below Wall St target ($77.11)
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $50.30 - $64.45
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $49.50
Resistance Level $62.23
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.81
Wall Street Target $77.11 (+53.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 25.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 218.2%
Profit Margin 7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.8 vs 25.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $45.23 (-10%)
2-Year Target $40.71 (-19%)
3-Year Target $36.64 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18β†’26) $52.87 (+5%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.7%) $74.67 (+49%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 9.7%) $66.26 (+32%)
Bear: (PE: 15.1, Growth: 9.7%) $56.32 (+12%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.23
Bull Case $70.80 (+41%)
Analyst growth 26.6%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case $64.36 (+28%)
Market implied 26.6%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case $34.58 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.8 to 25.7
Stabilization Target: $72.53 (+44.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +44.3%
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark N Rogers SELL 5000 shares 2026-04-16
Mark N Rogers SELL 5000 shares 2026-03-16

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Advanced AMKR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMKR price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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