Ameresco (AMRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMRC - Ameresco, Inc.
$19.08
-0.76 (-3.83%)
▼
5d:
-5.03%
30d:
-16.06%
90d:
-12.28%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
16d
Get Alerted When AMRC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMRC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AMRC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.71
48.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMRC is currently trading at $19.08, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.90 to $22.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.6) compared to its historical average (18.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.38, while resistance sits at $21.73. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMRC scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.40 (+117.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMRC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.38, while resistance sits at $21.73. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMRC scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $41.40 (+117.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.90 -
$22.90
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
53th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMRC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 53th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 117.0% below Wall St target ($41.40)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.0% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.90 -
$22.90
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.93
(15.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.38
Resistance Level
$21.73
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.56
Wall Street Target
$41.40
(+117.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-25.0%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-14.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 18.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-14.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.17
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.45
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.91
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→18)
$22.13
(+16%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 34.4%)
$79.53
(+317%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 34.4%)
$46.31
(+143%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 34.4%)
$39.36
(+106%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.43 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.53
Bull Case
$43.65
(+129%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.2
Base Case
$39.68
(+108%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.4
Bear Case
$13.49
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 18.4
Stabilization Target:
$30.36
(+59.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+59.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 1:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AMRC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Engineering & Construction Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Engineering & Construction by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
PWR
Quanta Services Inc |
STRONG BUY
31 analysts |
$766 | 44 HOLD |
|
MTZ
MasTec Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$385 | 41 HOLD |
|
LGN
Legence Corp. Class A Co… |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$100 | 39 SELL |
|
ACM
Aecom Technology Corpora… |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$84 | 53 HOLD |
|
STN
Stantec Inc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$94 | 46 HOLD |
Advanced AMRC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMRC price and gamma walls.
