Amerant Bancorp (AMTB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMTB - Amerant Bancorp Inc.
$29.32
0.06 (0.21%)
â˛
5d:
-0.24%
30d:
+0.07%
90d:
+23.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
Get Alerted When AMTB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMTB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMTB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.76
10.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMTB is currently trading at $29.32, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.66 to $29.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMTB scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.74. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMTB scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$28.66 -
$29.36
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.88)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with -7.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.66 -
$29.36
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.30
Resistance Level
$29.74
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.60
Wall Street Target
$31.88
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.6%
Profit Margin
14.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.05
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$30.80
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$31.57
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â10)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.18
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 26.5%)
$113.01
(+286%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 26.5%)
$59.41
(+103%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 26.5%)
$50.50
(+72%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.40
Bull Case
$63.57
(+117%)
Analyst growth 97.5%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$57.79
(+97%)
Market implied 97.5%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$19.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:15 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AMTB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$63 | 66 BUY |
|
PNC
PNC Financial Services GâĻ |
BUY
23 analysts |
$278 | 61 BUY |
|
MTB
M&T Bank Corporation |
BUY
21 analysts |
$257 | 66 BUY |
|
TFC
Truist Financial Corp |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$55 | 61 BUY |
|
KEY
KeyCorp |
BUY
19 analysts |
$26 | 62 BUY |
