Amerant Bancorp (AMTB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$30.27
+0.04 (+0.13%)
▲
5d:
+0.67%
30d:
+4.78%
90d:
+3.7%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (47%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$28.90 – $30.03
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.4x
FAIR
vs 9.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$33.25
+10.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$29.11 / $31.00
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: AMTB is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$55.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$34.71
12.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMTB is currently trading at $30.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.90 to $30.03. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.90 -
$30.03
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$28.90 -
$30.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$29.11
Resistance Level
$31.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($33.25)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (53/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.42
Wall Street Target
$33.25
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
85.7%
Profit Margin
17.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.71
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$31.21
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$31.70
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 27.8%)
$120.09
(+297%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.4, Growth: 27.8%)
$63.03
(+109%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 27.8%)
$53.58
(+77%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.69
Bull Case
$56.83
(+88%)
Analyst growth 71.6%, PE expands to 19.6
Base Case
$51.67
(+71%)
Market implied 71.6%, PE stable at 17.8
Bear Case
$20.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AMTB)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Dec 15, 2021
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on AMTB are bullish (sentiment score +0.27) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMTB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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