Amerant Bancorp (AMTB) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMTB - Amerant Bancorp Inc.
$29.63
0.50 (1.72%)
▲
5d:
+2.07%
30d:
+3.28%
90d:
+3.96%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When AMTB Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMTB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMTB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.41
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.79
12.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMTB is currently trading at $29.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.81 to $29.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMTB scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMTB scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$28.81 -
$29.54
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.88)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with -7.9% revenue growth
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$28.81 -
$29.54
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.77
Resistance Level
$29.79
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.32
Wall Street Target
$31.88
(+9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.6%
Profit Margin
14.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.3 vs 9.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.54
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$29.95
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$30.37
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$29.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 28.7%)
$119.59
(+311%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 28.7%)
$62.15
(+113%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 28.7%)
$52.83
(+81%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.39
Bull Case
$63.93
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$58.12
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$19.76
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 2:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:43 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AMTB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Banks - Regional Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Banks - Regional by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CFG
Citizens Financial Group… |
STRONG BUY
20 analysts |
$78 | 65 BUY |
|
USB
U.S. Bancorp |
BUY
24 analysts |
$69 | 59 HOLD |
|
WAL
Western Alliance Bancorp… |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$91 | 67 BUY |
|
SSB
SouthState Corporation |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$119 | 65 BUY |
|
ONB
Old National Bancorp |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$30 | 57 HOLD |
