Amentum (AMTM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$23.13
+0.79 (+3.54%)
▲
5d:
+3.35%
30d:
+22.25%
90d:
+2.71%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 23, 2026
11d
Protect AMTM Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (56%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$18.87 – $22.08
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.8x
FAIR
vs 9.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$29.25
+26.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$20.53 / $23.37
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMTM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.23
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMTM is currently trading at $23.13, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.87 to $22.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.8) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 575.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.25 (+26.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.37. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.25 (+26.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.87 -
$22.08
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$18.87 -
$22.08
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$20.53
Resistance Level
$23.37
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMTM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.5% below Wall St target ($29.25)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.76
Wall Street Target
$29.25
(+26.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
575.0%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.69
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$22.26
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$21.84
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$23.17
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$64.59
(+179%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$28.50
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 7.2%)
$24.22
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.87
Bull Case
$49.15
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.3
Base Case
$44.68
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.7
Bear Case
$15.19
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$24.55
(+6.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AMTM)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits shows a bullish sentiment towards $AMTM with a gain of 5.55%, but no new news articles were available.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 12:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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