AMTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMTM - Amentum Holdings, Inc.
$21.49
0.88 (4.27%)
▲
5d:
+0.09%
30d:
-2.36%
90d:
-7.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: AMTM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: AMTM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.96
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMTM is currently trading at $21.49, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.73 to $23.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 575.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.09, while resistance sits at $25.08. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.58 (+37.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTM is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $20.09, while resistance sits at $25.08. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.58 (+37.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$20.73 -
$23.25
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMTM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 37.7% below Wall St target ($29.58)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.73 -
$23.25
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.09
Resistance Level
$25.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.14
Wall Street Target
$29.58
(+37.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
575.0%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 9.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.20
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$18.99
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$17.85
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$21.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.2%)
$65.27
(+204%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.1, Growth: 7.2%)
$26.48
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$22.51
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.81
Bull Case
$45.34
(+111%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case
$41.22
(+92%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.4
Bear Case
$14.01
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.1 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$25.87
(+20.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 9:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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