Amentum (AMTM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMTM - Amentum Holdings, Inc.
$18.48
0.36 (1.99%)
▲
5d:
-4.74%
30d:
-7.55%
90d:
-12.99%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 23, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMTM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMTM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.92
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.44
9.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMTM is currently trading at $18.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.02 to $20.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (9.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 575.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.89, while resistance sits at $20.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.50 (+59.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTM is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.89, while resistance sits at $20.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.50 (+59.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$19.02 -
$20.32
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
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Holding AMTM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 59.6% below Wall St target ($29.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.02 -
$20.32
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.89
Resistance Level
$20.33
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.00
Wall Street Target
$29.50
(+59.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
575.0%
Profit Margin
1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 9.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.69
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.07
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.61
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→10)
$18.46
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 7.2%)
$66.34
(+259%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 7.2%)
$22.77
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 7.2%)
$19.35
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$39.86
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$36.24
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$12.32
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 9.5
Stabilization Target:
$25.08
(+35.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 01, 2026 11:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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