Is AMTM stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, AMTM is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMTM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of AMTM stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for AMTM to be between $19.81 and $22.97. The current price is $19.46.

What is the analyst price target for AMTM?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for AMTM is $29.58. This implies a potential upside of 52.0% from current levels.

Amentum (AMTM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMTM - Amentum Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

$19.46

-0.10 (-0.51%) ▼

5d: -3.23%

30d: -13.59%

90d: -11.87%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 11, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $20.06 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 6.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMTM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 7.2%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$33.61

Based on 5.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$20.87

6.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMTM is currently trading at $19.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.81 to $22.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.4) compared to its historical average (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 575.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.58 (+52.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $19.81 - $22.97

Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 52.0% below Wall St target ($29.58)
WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $19.81 - $22.97

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $19.21

Resistance Level $20.57

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.37

Wall Street Target $29.58 (+52.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 575.0%

Profit Margin 1.4%

Valuation Discount vs History -8.6% cheaper

PE vs Historical 7.4 vs 9.7 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -8.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $17.79 (-9%)

2-Year Target $16.26 (-17%)

3-Year Target $14.86 (-24%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→10) $19.55 (+1%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 7.2%) $65.60 (+237%)

Base: (SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 7.2%) $23.98 (+23%)

Bear: (PE: 6.3, Growth: 7.2%) $20.38 (+5%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 23.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.84

Bull Case $43.03 (+121%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 25.6

Base Case $39.12 (+101%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.3

Bear Case $13.30 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 9.7

Stabilization Target: $25.60 (+31.6%)

PE Expansion Potential: +31.6%

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Last updated: September 11, 2026 10:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:51 PM

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