AN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AN - AutoNation, Inc.
$193.43
-2.37 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
+1.42%
30d:
+0.11%
90d:
-3.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$313.59
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$194.71
0.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AN is currently trading at $193.43, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $187.25 to $193.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $182.09, while resistance sits at $201.24.
Market Sentiment: AN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $242.25 (+25.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $182.09, while resistance sits at $201.24.
Market Sentiment: AN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $242.25 (+25.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$187.25 -
$193.97
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.2% below Wall St target ($242.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$187.25 -
$193.97
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$182.09
Resistance Level
$201.24
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.96
Wall Street Target
$242.25
(+25.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.5%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 8.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$188.01
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$182.75
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$177.63
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$194.11
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$754.24
(+290%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 12.5%)
$275.70
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 12.5%)
$234.34
(+21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.44
Bull Case
$283.78
(+47%)
Analyst growth 31.8%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$257.98
(+33%)
Market implied 31.8%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case
$133.14
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.7
Stabilization Target:
$211.38
(+9.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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