AOMR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AOMR - Angel Oak Mortgage REIT, Inc.
$8.95
-0.07 (-0.78%)
▼
5d:
+0.0%
30d:
+6.29%
90d:
+1.13%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
19d
Get Alerted When AOMR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AOMR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AOMR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.13
Based on 11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.39
4.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AOMR is currently trading at $8.95, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.42 to $9.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.4) is in line with its historical norms (6.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AOMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AOMR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.75 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AOMR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AOMR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.75 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$8.42 -
$9.01
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($10.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with -60.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.42 -
$9.01
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.85
Resistance Level
$9.15
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.42
Wall Street Target
$10.75
(+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-60.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.3%
Profit Margin
45.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 6.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.99
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$9.04
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$9.08
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$8.92
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.2%)
$51.51
(+476%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: 19.2%)
$15.17
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: 19.2%)
$12.90
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.63
Bull Case
$19.84
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$18.04
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$6.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 7:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:33 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AOMR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated REIT - Mortgage Stocks
Top-rated stocks in REIT - Mortgage by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RITM
Rithm Capital Corp. |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$13 | 60 HOLD |
|
NLY
Annaly Capital Managemen… |
BUY
14 analysts |
$24 | 62 BUY |
|
FBRT
Franklin BSP Realty Trus… |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$13 | 58 HOLD |
|
LADR
Ladder Capital Corp Clas… |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$12 | 59 HOLD |
|
EFC
Ellington Financial Inc. |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$15 | 55 HOLD |