AOUT
American Outdoor Brands, Inc. Common Stock
SPORTING & ATHLETIC GOODS, NEC
American Outdoor Brands (AOUT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$18.57
-0.41 (-2.16%)
▼
5d:
+7.28%
30d:
+4.56%
90d:
+53.22%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (41%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$16.89 – $18.50
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
48.9x
STRETCHED
vs 30.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$18.33
-1.3% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$16.75 / $19.50
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AOUT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.50
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AOUT is currently trading at $18.57, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.89 to $18.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 48.9) compared to its historical average (30.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 17.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AOUT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.75, while resistance sits at $19.50.
Market Sentiment: AOUT scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AOUT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.75, while resistance sits at $19.50.
Market Sentiment: AOUT scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.89 -
$18.50
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$16.89 -
$18.50
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.77
(9.5%)
Support Level
$16.75
Resistance Level
$19.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (19/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 17.7% growth with 25.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
48.87
Wall Street Target
$18.33
(-1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
-2.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+17.7% premium
PE vs Historical
48.9 vs 30.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+17.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.86
(+18%)
2-Year Target
$25.73
(+39%)
3-Year Target
$30.28
(+63%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 49→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$18.59
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 48.9, Growth: 162.1%)
$62.67
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 162.1%)
$25.47
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 162.1%)
$21.65
(+17%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AOUT)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 6, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
The latest article from Yahoo Finance identifies $AOUT as one of the five stocks with recent price strength after a mixed September performance. The article emphasizes the importance of considering other relevant parameters for a successful investment strategy, such as percentage change in price, Zacks Rank, and broker rating.
Key Retail Themes:
Recent stock price strength after mixed market performance
Importance of considering other investment parameters
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 6:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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