Planet Fitness (PLNT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

PLNT - Planet Fitness, Inc.

SERVICES-MEMBERSHIP SPORTS & RECREATION CLUBS
$42.41
0.56 (1.34%) ▲
5d: -0.63%
30d: -17.94%
90d: -19.1%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your PLNT Gains
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 24, 2026 at $40.72 · last confirmed Oct 2, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PLNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.31
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.15
33.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: PLNT is currently trading at $42.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.54 to $52.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.4) compared to its historical average (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, PLNT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $39.90, while resistance sits at $49.54.

Market Sentiment: PLNT scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.31 (+58.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $43.54 - $52.62
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 90.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 58.4% below Wall St target ($66.31)
  • CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 32% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $43.54 - $52.62
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $39.90
Resistance Level $49.54
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.43
Wall Street Target $66.31 (+58.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 26.1%
Profit Margin 18.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -15.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 11.4 vs 19.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -15.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $37.67 (-10%)
2-Year Target $33.90 (-19%)
3-Year Target $30.51 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→19) $51.00 (+22%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.3%) $105.78 (+153%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 12.3%) $59.25 (+42%)
Bear: (PE: 9.7, Growth: 12.3%) $50.36 (+20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.94
Bull Case $57.86 (+38%)
Analyst growth 24.6%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case $52.60 (+26%)
Market implied 24.6%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case $28.71 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.4 to 19.1
Stabilization Target: $69.96 (+67.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +67.2%
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Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced PLNT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PLNT price and gamma walls.

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