Hasbro (HAS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HAS - Hasbro, Inc.
$115.18
1.17 (1.03%)
▲
5d:
+17.04%
30d:
+33.12%
90d:
+29.72%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 20, 2026 at $104.72 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: HAS is 14.1% above its trading range ($100.98). Market expects 5.0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: HAS is 14.1% above its trading range ($100.98). Market expects 5.0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.35
Based on 4.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HAS is currently trading at $115.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.81 to $100.98. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (14.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HAS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HAS is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: HAS scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$85.81 -
$100.98
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
13.3%
Protect Your Profits
HAS is technically overbought (RSI 87). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+14.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($113.46)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.0% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.81 -
$100.98
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$90.68
Resistance Level
$114.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.08
Wall Street Target
$113.46
(-0.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
98.6%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.0% premium
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 14.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$119.70
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$125.68
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$131.97
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$113.56
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.0%)
$149.18
(+31%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 4.0%)
$128.31
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 4.0%)
$109.07
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.59
Bull Case
$143.82
(+26%)
Analyst growth 19.4%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$130.75
(+15%)
Market implied 19.4%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$74.47
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 12:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HAS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HAS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HAS price and gamma walls.
