AS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AS - Amer Sports, Inc.
$34.76
-1.35 (-3.74%)
▼
5d:
-3.15%
30d:
-1.61%
90d:
+6.27%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.7% annual earnings decline despite 21% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AS appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.7% annual earnings decline despite 21% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.47
2.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AS is currently trading at $34.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.04 to $36.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 29.6) compared to its historical average (34.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.43, while resistance sits at $37.17. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: AS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.89 (+43.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AS is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.43, while resistance sits at $37.17. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: AS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.89 (+43.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$34.04 -
$36.14
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 43.5% below Wall St target ($49.89)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$34.04 -
$36.14
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.43
Resistance Level
$37.17
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.62
Wall Street Target
$49.89
(+43.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.8%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.6 vs 34.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.13
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$31.57
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$30.09
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→34)
$34.73
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.6, Growth: 25.7%)
$68.97
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 25.7%)
$50.71
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 25.7%)
$43.10
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.80
Bull Case
$58.26
(+68%)
Analyst growth 46.7%, PE expands to 49.7
Base Case
$52.96
(+52%)
Market implied 46.7%, PE stable at 45.1
Bear Case
$24.55
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.6 to 34.2
Stabilization Target:
$40.13
(+15.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Andrew E Page
SELL
6005 shares
2026-04-16
Jutta C Karlsson
SELL
662 shares
2026-04-16
Stuart Haselden
SELL
11438 shares
2026-04-16
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