AS Amer Sports, Inc. Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl

Amer Sports (AS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$31.08
-0.78 (-2.45%) ▼
5d: -3.03% 30d: +6.44% 90d: -6.16%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (29%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$28.04 – $31.01
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
26.5x CHEAP
vs 31.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$47.47
+52.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$28.42 / $32.93
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $31.43 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026

Strength: 7.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.13
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.47
12.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AS is currently trading at $31.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.04 to $31.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.5) compared to its historical average (31.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 500% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.42, while resistance sits at $32.93.

Market Sentiment: AS scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.47 (+52.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $28.04 - $31.01
Company Quality Score 34/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 28.6%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $28.04 - $31.01
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $28.42
Resistance Level $32.93
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 52.7% below Wall St target ($47.47)
  • WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.49
Wall Street Target $47.47 (+52.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 32.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 500.0%
Profit Margin 7.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 26.5 vs 31.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $29.46 (-5%)
2-Year Target $27.93 (-10%)
3-Year Target $26.48 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→31) $31.09 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 26.5, Growth: 25.7%) $61.67 (+98%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.7%) $46.24 (+49%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 25.7%) $39.30 (+27%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.95
Bull Case $43.29 (+39%)
Analyst growth 23.5%, PE expands to 36.9
Base Case $39.35 (+27%)
Market implied 23.5%, PE stable at 33.5
Bear Case $21.66 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.5 to 31.1
Stabilization Target: $36.49 (+17.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +17.4%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AS)

Bearish 3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Bullish sentiment on StockTwits for $AS, with one user expressing a bullish setup for consumer cyclical and premium sports & outdoor brands. No news articles found.
Key Retail Themes: Bullish sentiment towards $AS Consumer cyclical and premium sports & outdoor brands
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:12 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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