Is APG stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, APG is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of APG stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for APG to be between $39.22 and $42.85. The current price is $37.86.

What is the analyst price target for APG?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for APG is $52.36. This implies a potential upside of 38.3% from current levels.

APi Group (APG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

APG - APi Group Corporation

SERVICES-TO DWELLINGS & OTHER BUILDINGS

$37.86

0.48 (1.28%) ▲

5d: -5.42%

30d: -13.07%

90d: -11.25%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your APG Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 29, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 10, 2026 at $37.38 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 7.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$96.80

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$60.11

37.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: APG is currently trading at $37.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.22 to $42.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (25.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, APG is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $35.57, while resistance sits at $41.27.

Market Sentiment: APG scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.36 (+38.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $39.22 - $42.85

Company Quality Score 40/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 38.3% below Wall St target ($52.36)
WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $39.22 - $42.85

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $35.57

Resistance Level $41.27

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.04

Wall Street Target $52.36 (+38.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 25.0%

Profit Margin 4.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -8.8% cheaper

PE vs Historical 19.0 vs 25.1 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -8.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $34.53 (-9%)

2-Year Target $31.49 (-17%)

3-Year Target $28.72 (-24%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→25) $37.86 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 105.1%) $135.36 (+258%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 105.1%) $127.78 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 16.2, Growth: 105.1%) $108.61 (+187%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 25.1

Stabilization Target: $49.91 (+31.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +31.8%

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Last updated: September 13, 2026 7:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:11 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Martin E Franklin SELL 3000000 shares 2026-03-19

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