APOG
Apogee Enterprises Inc
GLASS PRODUCTS, MADE OF PURCHASED GLASS
Apogee Enterprises (APOG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$48.14
+0.31 (+0.65%)
▲
5d:
+0.31%
30d:
+14.7%
90d:
+13.08%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 06, 2026
0d
Protect APOG Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (41%)
Quality Score
32/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$40.67 – $46.62
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.5x
STRETCHED
vs 12.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$51.00
+6.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
13th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$44.10 / $49.50
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: APOG shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.09
Based on -5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APOG is currently trading at $48.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $40.67 to $46.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.5) compared to its historical average (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APOG is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $49.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APOG scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APOG is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $49.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: APOG scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$40.67 -
$46.62
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
13th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$40.67 -
$46.62
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.76
(3.7%)
Support Level
$44.10
Resistance Level
$49.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding APOG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 13th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($51.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.4% growth with 9.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.46
Wall Street Target
$51.00
(+6.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.7%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.4% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 12.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.33
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$57.24
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$62.63
(+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.93
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -15.2%)
$42.06
(+-12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: -15.2%)
$34.87
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: -15.2%)
$26.68
(-44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.16
Bull Case
$48.59
(+2%)
Analyst growth -8.1%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$44.17
(-8%)
Market implied -8.1%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$32.67
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (APOG)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 3, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Apogee (APOG) reported stronger-than-expected Q2 earnings, but stock prices have declined due to industry challenges and investor expectations. The company sells architectural products and services for commercial buildings, with a focus on high-performance glass.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings surprise
industry challenges
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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