TT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TT - Trane Technologies plc
$491.59
8.19 (1.69%)
▲
5d:
+7.28%
30d:
+8.83%
90d:
+19.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$657.57
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$408.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TT is currently trading at $491.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $450.54 to $473.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.9) is in line with its historical norms (26.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $472.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $472.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$450.54 -
$473.77
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($521.51)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with 6.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$450.54 -
$473.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$440.95
Resistance Level
$472.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.87
Wall Street Target
$521.51
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
28.9 vs 26.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$503.88
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$516.48
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$529.39
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$491.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.9, Growth: 14.3%)
$733.53
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.3%)
$553.30
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 14.3%)
$470.31
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.10
Bull Case
$691.07
(+41%)
Analyst growth 30.0%, PE expands to 40.6
Base Case
$628.24
(+28%)
Market implied 30.0%, PE stable at 36.9
Bear Case
$328.71
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher J Kuehn
SELL
8619 shares
2026-04-08
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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