CARR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CARR - Carrier Global Corporation
$69.34
1.53 (2.26%)
▲
5d:
-1.04%
30d:
-2.67%
90d:
+12.82%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
14d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.6/10
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1 traders called CARR this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CARR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CARR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.67
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CARR is currently trading at $69.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.51 to $72.66. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.6) is in line with its historical norms (19.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.77, while resistance sits at $75.14.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.66 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.77, while resistance sits at $75.14.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $76.66 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$67.51 -
$72.66
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($76.66)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.2% growth with 2.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.51 -
$72.66
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$65.77
Resistance Level
$75.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.65
Wall Street Target
$76.66
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.7%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
21.7 vs 19.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$71.56
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$73.85
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$76.21
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$69.33
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.4%)
$104.40
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.7, Growth: 14.4%)
$103.80
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.4, Growth: 14.4%)
$88.23
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case
$149.18
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 48.8
Base Case
$135.62
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 44.3
Bear Case
$46.11
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CARR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
2
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Rick Larsen
BUY
2026-04-07
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-29
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-23
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