Is CARR stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, CARR is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: CARR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of CARR stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CARR to be between $54.98 and $58.65. The current price is $55.22.

What is the analyst price target for CARR?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CARR is $75.78. This implies a potential upside of 37.2% from current levels.

Carrier Global (CARR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CARR - Carrier Global Corporation

AIR-COND & WARM AIR HEATG EQUIP & COMM & INDL REFRIG EQUIP

$55.22

0.36 (0.66%) ▲

5d: +0.64%

30d: -3.55%

90d: -21.19%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your CARR Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 27, 2026 24d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 30, 2026 at $54.73 · last confirmed Sep 30, 2026

Strength: 6.7/10

Get Alerted When CARR Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CARR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 14.4%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$99.05

Based on 9.2% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$61.50

10.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CARR is currently trading at $55.22, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.98 to $58.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.8) compared to its historical average (19.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $56.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.78 (+37.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $54.98 - $58.65

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

Protect Your Profits

Holding CARR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 37.2% below Wall St target ($75.78)
NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (56/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $54.98 - $58.65

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $52.96

Resistance Level $56.79

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.75

Wall Street Target $75.78 (+37.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -11.8%

Profit Margin 5.5%

Valuation Discount vs History -4.8% cheaper

PE vs Historical 16.8 vs 19.4 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -4.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $52.57 (-5%)

2-Year Target $50.05 (-9%)

3-Year Target $47.64 (-14%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→19) $55.19 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 14.4%) $100.82 (+83%)

Base: (SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 14.4%) $82.76 (+50%)

Bear: (PE: 14.2, Growth: 14.4%) $70.35 (+27%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 39.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.39

Bull Case $120.69 (+119%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.4

Base Case $109.72 (+99%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.5

Bear Case $37.30 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.6

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.7 to 19.4

Stabilization Target: $63.97 (+15.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +15.8%

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: October 02, 2026 4:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 AM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is CARR showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

NEUTRAL

Recent Transactions

Rick Larsen BUY 2026-04-07

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for CARR.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Building Products & Equipment Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Building Products & Equipment by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
BLDR Builders FirstSource Inc	STRONG BUY 21 analysts	$81	60 BUY
TT Trane Technologies plc	BUY 25 analysts	$527	39 SELL
OC Owens Corning Inc	BUY 18 analysts	$175	54 HOLD
JCI Johnson Controls Interna…	BUY 22 analysts	$165	44 HOLD
MAS Masco Corporation	HOLD 21 analysts	$80	60 HOLD

BLDR Builders FirstSou…

60 BUY

TT Trane Technologie…

39 SELL

OC Owens Corning Inc

54 HOLD

JCI Johnson Controls …

44 HOLD

MAS Masco Corporation

60 HOLD

Advanced CARR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CARR price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for CARR

CARR Technical Chart CARR Price Prediction CARR Earnings Date CARR Investment Advisor CARR Fair Price Analyzer CARR Options Advisor CARR Options Chain CARR Options Analysis CARR Competitors

Compare CARR with Peers

CARR vs OTIS
Which one to buy?

CARR vs TT
Which one to buy?

CARR vs RTX
Which one to buy?

CARR vs CTVA
Which one to buy?

CARR vs LHX
Which one to buy?

CARR vs CTVA
Winner: CTVA

CARR vs JCI

TT vs CARR

GNRC vs CARR

CARR vs CSL
Winner: CSL

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie