CARR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CARR - Carrier Global Corporation
$61.81
0.42 (0.68%)
▲
5d:
-10.26%
30d:
-14.24%
90d:
-7.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CARR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CARR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.37
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.94
1.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CARR is currently trading at $61.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.19 to $72.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.7) is in line with its historical norms (19.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.07, while resistance sits at $69.86.
Market Sentiment: CARR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.72 (+25.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CARR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $59.07, while resistance sits at $69.86.
Market Sentiment: CARR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.72 (+25.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$65.19 -
$72.63
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CARR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.7% below Wall St target ($77.72)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$65.19 -
$72.63
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.07
Resistance Level
$69.86
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.74
Wall Street Target
$77.72
(+25.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-11.8%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.7 vs 19.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.64
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$59.48
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$58.35
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$61.67
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.5%)
$102.75
(+66%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 14.5%)
$92.86
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 14.5%)
$78.93
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.44
Bull Case
$135.06
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 46.9
Base Case
$122.78
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.6
Bear Case
$41.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.7 to 19.8
Stabilization Target:
$65.32
(+5.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 5:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CARR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Rick Larsen
BUY
2026-04-07
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