ARKO
ARKO Corp. Common Stock
RETAIL-CONVENIENCE STORES
ARKO (ARKO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$4.10
-0.14 (-3.30%)
âŧ
5d:
+6.22%
30d:
+1.49%
90d:
-15.46%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (45%)
Quality Score
34/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$3.86 â $4.18
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
31.5x
FAIR
vs 34.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$8.50
+107.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.62 / $4.35
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ARKO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARKO is currently trading at $4.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.86 to $4.18. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.5) is in line with its historical norms (34.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARKO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.62, while resistance sits at $4.34. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ARKO scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.50 (+107.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARKO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.62, while resistance sits at $4.34. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ARKO scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.50 (+107.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$3.86 -
$4.18
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$3.86 -
$4.18
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$3.62
Resistance Level
$4.35
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 107.3% below Wall St target ($8.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.54
Wall Street Target
$8.50
(+107.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.0%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
31.5 vs 34.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.97
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$3.84
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$3.72
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32â35)
$4.09
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.5, Growth: 18.2%)
$6.77
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.2%)
$4.26
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 18.2%)
$3.62
(-12%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (85x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 84.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.05
Bull Case
$9.33
(+128%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 93.3
Base Case
$8.48
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 84.8
Bear Case
$2.88
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 72.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 31.5 to 34.7
Stabilization Target:
$4.51
(+10.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ARKO)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages express bullish sentiment towards $ARKO, with one user praising the CEO's actions despite recent losses.
Key Retail Themes:
CEO performance
Investor sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 5:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARKO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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