ARKO (ARKO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ARKO - ARKO Corp. Common Stock
$4.52
0.05 (1.12%)
â˛
5d:
-6.42%
30d:
+1.35%
90d:
-47.69%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ARKO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ARKO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ARKO is currently trading at $4.52, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.09 to $6.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.8) is in line with its historical norms (35.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARKO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.30, while resistance sits at $4.96.
Market Sentiment: ARKO scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+99.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ARKO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.30, while resistance sits at $4.96.
Market Sentiment: ARKO scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+99.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$4.09 -
$6.10
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 99.1% below Wall St target ($9.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.09 -
$6.10
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.30
Resistance Level
$4.96
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.77
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+99.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-75.0%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.8 vs 35.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.49
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$4.47
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$4.44
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35â35)
$4.52
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.8, Growth: 18.2%)
$7.46
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 18.2%)
$4.33
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 18.2%)
$3.68
(-19%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (56x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 55.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.08
Bull Case
$7.99
(+77%)
Analyst growth 62.5%, PE expands to 61.5
Base Case
$7.26
(+61%)
Market implied 62.5%, PE stable at 55.9
Bear Case
$3.04
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 47.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.8 to 35.4
Stabilization Target:
$4.60
(+1.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 8:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ARKO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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