Best Buy (BBY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBY - Best Buy Company, Inc.
$87.97
0.27 (0.31%)
â˛
5d:
-2.81%
30d:
+1.11%
90d:
+12.78%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BBY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.4% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BBY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.4% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.00
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.12
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBY is currently trading at $87.97, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.29 to $92.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (11.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBY is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $86.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$85.29 -
$92.70
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BBY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($86.95)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.4% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$85.29 -
$92.70
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.10
Resistance Level
$96.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.23
Wall Street Target
$86.95
(-1.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.1%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.4% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 11.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$93.60
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$99.59
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$105.96
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$88.08
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 5.4%)
$158.85
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 5.4%)
$103.04
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 5.4%)
$85.65
(-3%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.97
Bull Case
$107.42
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.4%, PE expands to 16.2
Base Case
$97.65
(+11%)
Market implied 11.4%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$59.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BBY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BBY price and gamma walls.
