BBY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBY - Best Buy Company, Inc.
$81.65
-1.15 (-1.39%)
▼
5d:
+4.68%
30d:
+7.95%
90d:
+30.91%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 27, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BBY trades at premium valuation expecting 6.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: BBY trades at premium valuation expecting 6.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$85.30
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBY is currently trading at $81.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.11 to $79.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $83.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBY has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$74.11 -
$79.38
Company Quality Score
69/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BBY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($79.15)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.5% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$74.11 -
$79.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.75
Resistance Level
$83.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.28
Wall Street Target
$79.15
(-3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.9%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.5% premium
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 10.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.96
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$92.61
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$98.63
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$81.91
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.4%)
$169.60
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 5.4%)
$95.64
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 5.4%)
$79.42
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.54
Bull Case
$105.58
(+28%)
Analyst growth 20.0%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case
$95.98
(+16%)
Market implied 20.0%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$54.39
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jason J Bonfig
SELL
6336 shares
2026-03-23
Kathleen Scarlett
SELL
8049 shares
2026-03-23
Mathew Watson
SELL
3298 shares
2026-03-23
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Advanced BBY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BBY price and gamma walls.
