Best Buy (BBY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBY - Best Buy Company, Inc.
$99.83
5.71 (6.07%)
▲
5d:
+6.01%
30d:
+9.94%
90d:
+16.86%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 24, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 19, 2026 at $91.90 · last confirmed Oct 19, 2026
Strength: 6.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.83
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBY is currently trading at $99.83, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.35 to $94.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.0) compared to its historical average (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $99.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: BBY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $87.85. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $99.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: BBY scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $87.85. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$87.35 -
$94.23
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
18.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BBY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.9% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading 12.0% above Wall St target ($87.85)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.5% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.35 -
$94.23
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.83
Resistance Level
$99.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.02
Wall Street Target
$87.85
(-12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.1%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.5% premium
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 11.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$110.31
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$121.89
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$134.69
(+35%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$99.56
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.4%)
$154.64
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 5.4%)
$116.94
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 5.4%)
$86.43
(-13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.02
Bull Case
$114.33
(+15%)
Analyst growth 10.4%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$103.93
(+4%)
Market implied 10.4%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$64.00
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 11:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BBY Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BBY price and gamma walls.
