ASPN
Aspen Aerogels, Inc.
WHOLESALE-LUMBER & OTHER CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS
Aspen Aerogels (ASPN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$6.41
+0.69 (+12.06%)
▲
5d:
+33.54%
30d:
+17.18%
90d:
+5.6%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
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Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (19%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$5.06 – $5.79
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
400.6x
STRETCHED
vs 42.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$7.75
+20.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$4.52 / $6.46
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: ASPN is 10.7% above its trading range ($5.79). Market expects 111.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASPN is currently trading at $6.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.06 to $5.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 400.6) compared to its historical average (42.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 111.5% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 12.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASPN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+20.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASPN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 12.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: ASPN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+20.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.06 -
$5.79
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$5.06 -
$5.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$4.52
Resistance Level
$6.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+12.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($7.75)
- BEARISH: Market expects 111.5% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
400.62
Wall Street Target
$7.75
(+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Profit Margin
-60.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+111.5% premium
PE vs Historical
400.6 vs 42.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+111.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.62
(+50%)
2-Year Target
$14.42
(+125%)
3-Year Target
$21.63
(+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 401→42)
PE COMPRESSION
$2.28
(-64%)
Significant PE compression expected
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ASPN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits is filled with bullish sentiment towards $ASPN, but no recent news articles are available.
Key Retail Themes:
Strong bullish sentiment towards $ASPN
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASPN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced ASPN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASPN price and gamma walls.
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