ATHM
Autohome Inc. American Depositary Shares, each representing four Class A Ordinary Shares
Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation
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ATHM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$21.66
-0.80 (-3.56%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.69%
30d:
+6.44%
90d:
-3.9%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (37%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$19.84 â $21.69
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.6x
STRETCHED
vs 12.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$21.65
Consensus price target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$19.77 / $23.18
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ATHM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 8.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.66
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATHM is currently trading at $21.66, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.84 to $21.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (12.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATHM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $19.77, while resistance sits at $23.18. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ATHM scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATHM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $19.77, while resistance sits at $23.18. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ATHM scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$19.84 -
$21.69
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
36.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$19.84 -
$21.69
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$19.77
Resistance Level
$23.18
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.65)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.8% growth with -26.0% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.58
Wall Street Target
$21.65
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-26.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.4%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.8% premium
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 12.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.57
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$25.64
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$27.90
(+29%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.70
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.3%)
$31.21
(+44%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 6.3%)
$26.05
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 6.3%)
$20.27
(-6%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$35.08
(+62%)
Analyst growth 42.0%, PE expands to 26.9
Base Case
$31.89
(+47%)
Market implied 42.0%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$15.27
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ATHM)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
May 29, 2024
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on ATHM are bearish (sentiment score -0.20) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATHM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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