AMES National (ATLO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATLO - AMES National Corp
$32.36
0.63 (1.99%)
▲
5d:
+1.7%
30d:
+1.92%
90d:
+11.43%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 16, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ATLO is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: ATLO is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.45
Based on 3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATLO is currently trading at $32.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.49 to $32.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATLO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ATLO scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATLO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ATLO scores 75/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$31.49 -
$32.33
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($33.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 13% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.49 -
$32.33
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.05
Resistance Level
$32.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.48
Wall Street Target
$33.00
(+2.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.1%
Profit Margin
31.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.14
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$33.93
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$34.75
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.40
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 3.7%)
$64.11
(+98%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 3.7%)
$36.06
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 3.7%)
$30.65
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.59
Bull Case
$38.00
(+17%)
Analyst growth 8.9%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case
$34.55
(+7%)
Market implied 8.9%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$21.58
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 2:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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