ATRA Atara Biotherapeutics, Inc BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES) Best Biotech Stocks 2026 →

Atara Biotherapeutics (ATRA) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$7.93
-0.30 (-3.65%) โ–ผ
5d: -0.38% 30d: -17.05% 90d: -1.98%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (86%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$8.19 โ€“ $9.39
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.1x CHEAP
vs 12.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$13.67
+72.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$7.47 / $8.65
Trend: Downtrend
๐Ÿ’กExecutive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
๐Ÿ“Š MIXED SIGNALS: ATRA shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.06
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.80
52.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ATRA is currently trading at $7.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.19 to $9.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.1) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 25.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $7.47, while resistance sits at $8.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: ATRA scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.67 (+72.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $8.19 - $9.39
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 85.7%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $8.19 - $9.39
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $7.47
Resistance Level $8.65
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 72.3% below Wall St target ($13.67)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile โ€” this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.13
Wall Street Target $13.67 (+72.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -64.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -25.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 5.1 vs 12.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -25.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.14 (-10%)
2-Year Target $6.42 (-19%)
3-Year Target $5.78 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 5โ†’13) $14.08 (+78%)
๐Ÿ’ก Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.1 to 12.5
Stabilization Target: $19.31 (+143.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +143.5%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ATRA)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Atara Biotherapeutics' Tab-celยฎ Biologics License Application for tabelecleucel has been accepted by the FDA.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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