AtriCure (ATRC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ATRC - AtriCure, Inc.

SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
$54.54
1.58 (2.98%) ▲
5d: +3.96%
30d: +25.21%
90d: +91.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ATRC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.02
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.05
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ATRC is currently trading at $54.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.92 to $50.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 126.3) compared to its historical average (89.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ATRC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.72. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ATRC scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $41.92 - $50.89
Company Quality Score 32/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 15.7%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.2% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($51.67)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 12.2% growth which is achievable
  • WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $41.92 - $50.89
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $46.61
Resistance Level $55.72
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 126.31
Wall Street Target $51.67 (-5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.8%
Profit Margin 1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +12.2% premium
PE vs Historical 126.3 vs 89.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +12.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $61.19 (+12%)
2-Year Target $68.66 (+26%)
3-Year Target $77.04 (+41%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 126→90) PE COMPRESSION $54.59 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 126.3, Growth: 51.9%) $184.07 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 51.9%) $29.39 (-46%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 51.9%) $24.99 (-54%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (192x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (126x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 192.31 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.27
Bull Case $62.21 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 201.9
Base Case $51.52 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 192.3
Bear Case $39.41 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 173.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Net
NEUTRAL

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