AngloGold Ashanti (AU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AU - AngloGold Ashanti plc
$104.42
0.54 (0.52%)
â˛
5d:
-6.49%
30d:
+6.64%
90d:
+25.53%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$156.32
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AU is currently trading at $104.42, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $93.18 to $115.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $102.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AU scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $102.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AU scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$93.18 -
$115.73
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($113.12)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$93.18 -
$115.73
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.10
Resistance Level
$119.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.55
Wall Street Target
$113.13
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.1%
Profit Margin
32.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.6 vs 10.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$105.57
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$106.73
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$107.90
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â10)
PE COMPRESSION
$104.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.4%)
$299.27
(+187%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 14.4%)
$156.53
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.0, Growth: 14.4%)
$133.05
(+27%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.14
Bull Case
$158.40
(+52%)
Analyst growth 38.6%, PE expands to 16.0
Base Case
$144.00
(+38%)
Market implied 38.6%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$70.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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