AngloGold Ashanti (AU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AU - AngloGold Ashanti plc
$85.19
-6.30 (-6.89%)
▼
5d:
-6.97%
30d:
-13.72%
90d:
+6.93%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 10, 2026
17d
Get Alerted When AU Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$162.59
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.96
15.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AU is currently trading at $85.19, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.45 to $99.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.7) compared to its historical average (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $84.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: AU scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.38 (+36.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $84.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: AU scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.38 (+36.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$90.45 -
$99.91
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 36.6% below Wall St target ($116.38)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.45 -
$99.91
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.69
Resistance Level
$95.16
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.66
Wall Street Target
$116.38
(+36.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.1%
Profit Margin
32.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 10.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.85
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$76.72
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$72.81
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$84.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 16.9%)
$312.10
(+266%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 16.9%)
$136.12
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 16.9%)
$115.70
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.46
Bull Case
$132.69
(+56%)
Analyst growth 31.8%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case
$120.62
(+42%)
Market implied 31.8%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$62.21
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.7 to 10.1
Stabilization Target:
$99.34
(+16.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Gold Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Gold by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
B
Barrick Mining Corporati… |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$52 | 63 BUY |
|
NEM
Newmont Goldcorp Corp |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$137 | 60 HOLD |
|
AEM
Agnico Eagle Mines Limit… |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$217 | 60 BUY |
|
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals … |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$178 | 56 HOLD |
|
KGC
Kinross Gold Corporation |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$31 | 66 BUY |
