AngloGold Ashanti (AU) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$92.00
-1.85 (-1.97%)
▼
5d:
+4.65%
30d:
+0.38%
90d:
-3.23%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (44%)
Quality Score
40/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$85.01 – $94.01
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
10.1x
FAIR
vs 10.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$114.35
+24.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$78.20 / $100.44
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: AU is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$138.03
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.71
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AU is currently trading at $92.00, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $85.01 to $94.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.20, while resistance sits at $100.44.
Market Sentiment: AU scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $114.35 (+24.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $78.20, while resistance sits at $100.44.
Market Sentiment: AU scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $114.35 (+24.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$85.01 -
$94.01
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
43.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$85.01 -
$94.01
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$78.20
Resistance Level
$100.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.3% below Wall St target ($114.35)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.12
Wall Street Target
$114.35
(+24.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Profit Margin
32.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.09
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$92.18
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$92.28
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$92.06
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.1%)
$260.84
(+184%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 13.1%)
$132.96
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 13.1%)
$113.02
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.69
Bull Case
$122.00
(+33%)
Analyst growth 18.2%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case
$110.91
(+21%)
Market implied 18.2%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case
$63.82
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AU)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user ranked $AU as the #11 stock in the basic materials growth sector based on Stock Meadow’s scoring model.
Key Retail Themes:
Stock ranking
Growth potential
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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