AUGO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AUGO - Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares
$54.57
-2.38 (-4.18%)
▼
5d:
-0.44%
30d:
-9.8%
90d:
-35.63%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AUGO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 21.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AUGO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 21.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$221.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$137.43
60.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AUGO is currently trading at $54.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.17 to $62.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (10.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 21.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUGO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.49, while resistance sits at $58.08. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.16 (+74.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUGO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $49.49, while resistance sits at $58.08. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.16 (+74.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$53.17 -
$62.71
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 74.4% below Wall St target ($95.16)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$53.17 -
$62.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.50
Resistance Level
$58.08
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.85
Wall Street Target
$95.16
(+74.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
136.5%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-21.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.9 vs 10.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-21.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.11
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$44.20
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$39.78
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→10)
$82.86
(+52%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 100.2%)
$787.32
(+1343%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: 100.2%)
$184.17
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.1, Growth: 100.2%)
$156.55
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.17
Bull Case
$125.29
(+130%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.5
Base Case
$113.90
(+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.7
Bear Case
$38.73
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 10.1
Stabilization Target:
$113.66
(+108.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+108.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 5:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is AUGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rodrigo Cardoso Barbosa
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-20
Rodrigo Cardoso Barbosa
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-19
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