AUGO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AUGO - Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares
$87.26
0.57 (0.66%)
▲
5d:
+14.79%
30d:
+58.37%
90d:
+15.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AUGO is 14.4% above its trading range ($76.26). Market expects -7.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: AUGO is 14.4% above its trading range ($76.26). Market expects -7.6% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$214.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$133.35
34.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AUGO is currently trading at $87.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.28 to $76.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (9.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2244.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUGO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $72.50, while resistance sits at $90.10.
Market Sentiment: AUGO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUGO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $72.50, while resistance sits at $90.10.
Market Sentiment: AUGO scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$52.28 -
$76.26
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
14.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+14.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($95.38)
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.28 -
$76.26
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.50
Resistance Level
$90.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.75
Wall Street Target
$95.38
(+9.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
76.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2244.7%
Profit Margin
23.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 9.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.63
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$74.50
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$68.84
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$87.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 100.2%)
$762.26
(+774%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 100.2%)
$294.50
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 100.2%)
$250.33
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.64
Bull Case
$190.72
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.2
Base Case
$173.38
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.8
Bear Case
$58.95
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 9.8
Stabilization Target:
$110.28
(+26.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+26.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 6:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AUGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rodrigo Cardoso Barbosa
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-20
Rodrigo Cardoso Barbosa
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-19
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