AUGO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AUGO - Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares
$56.83
-3.98 (-6.54%)
▼
5d:
-16.09%
30d:
+6.62%
90d:
-44.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AUGO is down 16.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AUGO is down 16.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$293.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$182.35
68.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AUGO is currently trading at $56.83, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.59 to $68.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.3) compared to its historical average (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 26.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUGO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.43 (+68.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AUGO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.43 (+68.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$58.59 -
$68.43
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 68.4% below Wall St target ($102.43)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -16.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$58.59 -
$68.43
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.12
Resistance Level
$68.01
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.31
Wall Street Target
$102.43
(+68.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
136.5%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-26.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.3 vs 10.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-26.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.73
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$49.26
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$44.33
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→11)
$109.94
(+81%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 84.0%)
$1036.02
(+1604%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: 84.0%)
$205.23
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.7, Growth: 84.0%)
$174.45
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 3.81 | Forward EPS (Implied): $15.94
Bull Case
$73.43
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 4.0
Base Case
$60.81
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 3.8
Bear Case
$46.52
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 3.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.3 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$150.81
(+148.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+148.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 12:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AUGO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rodrigo Cardoso Barbosa
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-20
Rodrigo Cardoso Barbosa
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-19
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