AVY Avery Dennison Corp. CONVERTED PAPER & PAPERBOARD PRODS (NO CONTANERS/BOXES)

Avery Dennison (AVY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$188.18
-0.86 (-0.45%) ▼
5d: -2.29% 30d: +10.23% 90d: +4.54%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (39%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$171.44 – $187.01
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
17.0x FAIR
vs 15.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$203.30
+8.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$177.65 / $195.34
Trend: Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AVY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$236.48
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$146.83
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AVY is currently trading at $188.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $171.44 to $187.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AVY is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $177.65, while resistance sits at $195.34.

Market Sentiment: AVY scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $171.44 - $187.01
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 39.2%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $171.44 - $187.01
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$5.85 (3.1%)
Support Level $177.65
Resistance Level $195.34
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($203.30)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.99
Wall Street Target $203.30 (+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 5.1%
Profit Margin 7.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.8% premium
PE vs Historical 17.0 vs 15.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $193.45 (+3%)
2-Year Target $198.87 (+6%)
3-Year Target $204.43 (+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→16) PE COMPRESSION $188.95 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.7%) $282.63 (+50%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.0, Growth: 8.7%) $241.74 (+29%)
Bear: (PE: 14.4, Growth: 8.7%) $205.48 (+9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.29
Bull Case $247.97 (+32%)
Analyst growth 19.2%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case $225.43 (+20%)
Market implied 19.2%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case $128.55 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AVY)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Avery Dennison (AVY) reported Q3 earnings of $2.42 per share, beating estimates by 8 cents, and generated $2.33 billion in revenue, surpassing the consensus estimate. The company's sales increased by 5.2%, driven by pricing gains, growth in high-value categories, and productivity initiatives.
Key Retail Themes: Earnings beat Revenue growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:17 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive AVY Research Pages
AVY Technical Chart AVY Price Prediction AVY Intrinsic Value DCF AVY Earnings Date AVY Investment Advisor AVY Fair Price Analyzer AVY Options Chain AVY Options Advisor AVY Options Analysis AVY Competitors
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