Armstrong World Industries (AWI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AWI - Armstrong World Industries, Inc.
$163.87
1.14 (0.70%)
▲
5d:
-4.08%
30d:
-10.68%
90d:
+5.66%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
Get Alerted When AWI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AWI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AWI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$279.81
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$173.74
5.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AWI is currently trading at $163.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $170.34 to $183.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.1) compared to its historical average (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AWI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $161.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AWI scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $210.18 (+28.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AWI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $161.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AWI scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $210.18 (+28.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$170.34 -
$183.47
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.3% below Wall St target ($210.18)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$170.34 -
$183.47
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$161.10
Resistance Level
$177.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.10
Wall Street Target
$210.18
(+28.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Profit Margin
18.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 19.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$157.81
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$151.97
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$146.35
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$164.31
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.6%)
$283.27
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.6%)
$240.17
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 13.6%)
$204.14
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.11
Bull Case
$241.25
(+47%)
Analyst growth 34.8%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case
$219.32
(+34%)
Market implied 34.8%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case
$110.66
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.1 to 19.2
Stabilization Target:
$183.98
(+12.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AWI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Featured in Portfolios
AWI is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Building Products & Equipment Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Building Products & Equipment by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CARR
Carrier Global Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$78 | 47 HOLD |
|
BLDR
Builders FirstSource Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$81 | 45 HOLD |
|
JCI
Johnson Controls Interna… |
BUY
22 analysts |
$163 | 63 BUY |
|
TT
Trane Technologies plc |
BUY
25 analysts |
$527 | 46 HOLD |
|
OC
Owens Corning Inc |
BUY
18 analysts |
$177 | 58 HOLD |