AXTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXTI - AXT Inc
$106.70
-4.15 (-3.74%)
▼
5d:
-13.09%
30d:
+0.66%
90d:
+172.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AXTI is down 13.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AXTI is down 13.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXTI is currently trading at $106.70, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.39 to $126.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 141.9) is in line with its historical norms (130.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $93.23, while resistance sits at $143.16. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $87.75. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXTI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $93.23, while resistance sits at $143.16. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $87.75. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$90.39 -
$126.16
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AXTI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.7%)
- BEARISH: Trading 17.8% above Wall St target ($87.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with 39.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$90.39 -
$126.16
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.23
Resistance Level
$143.16
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
141.89
Wall Street Target
$87.75
(-17.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.1%
Profit Margin
-14.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
141.9 vs 130.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.79
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$112.98
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$116.25
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 142→130)
PE COMPRESSION
$106.68
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 141.9, Growth: 147.4%)
$360.11
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 147.4%)
$55.61
(-48%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 147.4%)
$47.27
(-56%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AXTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Morris S Young
SELL
37905 shares
2026-03-13
Jesse Chen
SELL
8083 shares
2026-03-13
Jesse Chen
SELL
6003 shares
2026-03-12
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Advanced AXTI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AXTI price and gamma walls.
