Bancfirst (BANF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$118.57
+0.43 (+0.36%)
▲
5d:
+3.0%
30d:
+11.09%
90d:
+2.46%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (24%)
Quality Score
25/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$107.18 – $114.86
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.5x
FAIR
vs 15.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$122.33
+3.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$109.80 / $118.83
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BANF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$157.63
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BANF is currently trading at $118.57, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.18 to $114.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BANF is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $118.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BANF scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BANF is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $118.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BANF scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$107.18 -
$114.86
Company Quality Score
25/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$107.18 -
$114.86
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$109.80
Resistance Level
$118.83
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($122.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 25/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.45
Wall Street Target
$122.33
(+3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Profit Margin
35.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$116.72
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$115.32
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$113.94
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$118.29
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.3%)
$195.21
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 6.3%)
$142.02
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 6.3%)
$120.72
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.53
Bull Case
$140.61
(+19%)
Analyst growth 8.6%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$127.83
(+8%)
Market implied 8.6%, PE stable at 15.6
Bear Case
$80.05
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$122.65
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BANF)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 19, 2025
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user with 26 followers noted the significant price discrepancy between the previous price target of $11 for $BANF and its current trading price of .40, expressing optimism about the upcoming FDA approval.
Key Retail Themes:
FDA approval
Price discrepancy
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BANF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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