BBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBD - Banco Bradesco S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing one Preferred Shares)
$3.61
0.02 (0.56%)
▲
5d:
+0.28%
30d:
+3.74%
90d:
-6.96%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BBD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BBD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.95
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.69
2.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBD is currently trading at $3.61, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.44 to $3.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.4) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.47, while resistance sits at $3.74.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.40 (+21.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.47, while resistance sits at $3.74.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.40 (+21.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$3.44 -
$3.64
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.9% below Wall St target ($4.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.44 -
$3.64
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.47
Resistance Level
$3.74
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.40
Wall Street Target
$4.40
(+21.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Profit Margin
25.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.52
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$3.44
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$3.36
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$3.62
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 13.8%)
$17.22
(+377%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: 13.8%)
$5.32
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: 13.8%)
$4.52
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$5.30
(+47%)
Analyst growth 34.3%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case
$4.82
(+34%)
Market implied 34.3%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$2.44
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 6.9
Stabilization Target:
$3.89
(+7.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 7:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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