BBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBD - Banco Bradesco S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing one Preferred Shares)
$3.48
-0.03 (-1.00%)
▼
5d:
+1.91%
30d:
+0.72%
90d:
-0.71%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.00
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBD is currently trading at $3.48, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.30 to $3.54. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.5) is in line with its historical norms (6.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $3.30, while resistance sits at $3.61.
Market Sentiment: BBD scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.30 (+22.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $3.30, while resistance sits at $3.61.
Market Sentiment: BBD scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.30 (+22.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$3.30 -
$3.54
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.5% below Wall St target ($4.30)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 10% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.30 -
$3.54
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.30
Resistance Level
$3.61
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.45
Wall Street Target
$4.30
(+22.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.8%
Profit Margin
26.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.5 vs 6.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.47
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$3.43
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$3.39
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$3.52
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 9.1%)
$14.41
(+310%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 9.1%)
$4.56
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.5, Growth: 9.1%)
$3.87
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$5.02
(+43%)
Analyst growth 29.5%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$4.56
(+30%)
Market implied 29.5%, PE stable at 8.4
Bear Case
$2.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.5 to 6.7
Stabilization Target:
$3.65
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:22 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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