BBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBD - Banco Bradesco S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing one Preferred Shares)
$3.60
0.02 (0.56%)
▲
5d:
+4.05%
30d:
+12.5%
90d:
+4.65%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BBD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.00
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBD is currently trading at $3.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.13 to $3.49. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.6) is in line with its historical norms (6.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBD is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBD scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.40 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBD is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBD scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.40 (+22.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.13 -
$3.49
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.2% below Wall St target ($4.40)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.13 -
$3.49
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.20
Resistance Level
$3.63
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.62
Wall Street Target
$4.40
(+22.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.8%
Profit Margin
26.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 6.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.58
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$3.56
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$3.55
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$3.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.1%)
$14.24
(+296%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 9.1%)
$4.67
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 9.1%)
$3.97
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.43
Bull Case
$4.98
(+38%)
Analyst growth 26.5%, PE expands to 9.2
Base Case
$4.53
(+26%)
Market implied 26.5%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$2.43
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.6 to 6.7
Stabilization Target:
$3.65
(+1.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 8:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:24 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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