BBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBD - Banco Bradesco S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing one Preferred Shares)
$3.61
-0.04 (-1.10%)
▼
5d:
+3.14%
30d:
+9.39%
90d:
-10.42%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BBD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BBD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.96
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.70
2.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBD is currently trading at $3.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.35 to $3.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.4) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.40 (+21.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBD is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.40 (+21.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.35 -
$3.52
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.9% below Wall St target ($4.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.35 -
$3.52
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.38
Resistance Level
$3.68
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.37
Wall Street Target
$4.40
(+21.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Profit Margin
25.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.51
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$3.41
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$3.32
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$3.59
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$18.14
(+403%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: 13.7%)
$5.31
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: 13.7%)
$4.51
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.41
Bull Case
$5.29
(+45%)
Analyst growth 38.2%, PE expands to 9.3
Base Case
$4.81
(+32%)
Market implied 38.2%, PE stable at 8.5
Bear Case
$2.37
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 6.9
Stabilization Target:
$3.91
(+8.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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