BCML Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BCML - BayCom Corp Common Stock
$32.34
0.76 (2.41%)
▲
5d:
+1.47%
30d:
+3.75%
90d:
+9.22%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 16, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BCML is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: BCML is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.52
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BCML is currently trading at $32.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.74 to $31.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BCML is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BCML is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$30.74 -
$31.96
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
45th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 45th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$30.74 -
$31.96
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.47
(7.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$31.34
Resistance Level
$32.75
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.47
Wall Street Target
$32.67
(+1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.0%
Profit Margin
26.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.05
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$33.78
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$34.52
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$32.51
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 3.4%)
$67.94
(+110%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 3.4%)
$35.77
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 3.4%)
$30.41
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.42
Bull Case
$40.48
(+25%)
Analyst growth 16.5%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$36.80
(+14%)
Market implied 16.5%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$21.47
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 12:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BCML showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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