BCPC
Balchem Corporation
CHEMICALS & ALLIED PRODUCTS
Balchem (BCPC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$173.30
-0.24 (-0.14%)
âŧ
5d:
-5.08%
30d:
+2.11%
90d:
-2.17%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (78%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$167.47 â $175.57
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
27.2x
FAIR
vs 27.9x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$213.50
+23.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$166.53 / $186.15
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BCPC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$214.33
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$133.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BCPC is currently trading at $173.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $167.47 to $175.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.2) is in line with its historical norms (27.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 17.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BCPC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $166.53, while resistance sits at $186.15.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $213.50 (+23.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BCPC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $166.53, while resistance sits at $186.15.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $213.50 (+23.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$167.47 -
$175.57
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$167.47 -
$175.57
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$5.47
(3.2%)
Support Level
$166.53
Resistance Level
$186.15
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.2% below Wall St target ($213.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.23
Wall Street Target
$213.50
(+23.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
17.7%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.2 vs 27.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$171.91
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$170.54
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$169.17
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27â28)
$173.34
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.2, Growth: 8.3%)
$220.39
(+27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.3%)
$160.75
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 8.3%)
$136.64
(-21%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.30
Bull Case
$229.23
(+32%)
Analyst growth 20.1%, PE expands to 36.0
Base Case
$208.40
(+20%)
Market implied 20.1%, PE stable at 32.7
Bear Case
$118.01
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.2 to 27.9
Stabilization Target:
$177.57
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BCPC)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Jan 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on BCPC are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BCPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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