BDX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BDX - Becton, Dickinson and Co.
$192.00
4.38 (2.33%)
▲
5d:
+4.69%
30d:
+25.51%
90d:
+31.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BDX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BDX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$201.87
Based on 4.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$125.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BDX is currently trading at $192.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $156.72 to $181.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BDX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $192.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BDX scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BDX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $192.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BDX scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$156.72 -
$181.82
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.4%
Protect Your Profits
BDX is technically overbought (RSI 79). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.6% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($194.42)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.1% growth with 5.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$156.72 -
$181.82
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$175.63
Resistance Level
$192.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.44
Wall Street Target
$194.42
(+1.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.4%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 12.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$203.71
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$216.14
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$229.32
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$192.10
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 5.3%)
$311.53
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 5.3%)
$224.20
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 5.3%)
$187.82
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.78
Bull Case
$412.76
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 35.7
Base Case
$375.24
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case
$127.58
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 1:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BDX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Kevin Hern
SELL
2026-03-17
Michael Feld
SELL
75 shares
2026-02-26
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